Stage (2)
Data	Priors
${({\mu }_{stop},{\sigma }_{stop},{\tau }_{stop})}^{\prime }\sim MVN(M_{3\times 1},{\sum }_{3\times 3})$	${\rho }_{\mu ,\sigma },{\rho }_{\mu ,\tau },{\rho }_{\sigma ,\tau }\sim U[-0.99,+0.99]$
${\mu }_{stop}\sim N({\mu }_{{\mu }_{stop}},{\sigma }_{{\mu }_{stop}}^2)$	${\mu }_{{\mu }_{stop}},{\beta }_{20},{\beta }_{30}\sim N(0,1000)$
${\sigma }_{stop}|{\mu }_{stop}\sim N({\mu }_{{\sigma }_{stop}},{\sigma }_{{\sigma }_{stop}}^2)$	${\sigma }_{{\mu }_{stop}},{\sigma }_{{\sigma }_{stop}},{\sigma }_{{\tau }_{stop}}\sim N(0,10)I_{[0,1000]}^{+}$
${\tau }_{stop}|({\mu }_{stop},{\sigma }_{stop})\sim N({\mu }_{{\tau }_{stop}},{\sigma }_{{\tau }_{stop}}^2)$
${\mu }_{{\sigma }_{stop}i}={\beta }_{20}+{\beta }_{21}.{\mu }_{stop}i$
${\mu }_{{\tau }_{stop}i}={\beta }_{30}+{\beta }_{31}.{\mu }_{stop}i+{\beta }_{32}.{\sigma }_{stop}i$