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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2022 Sep 1.
Published in final edited form as: J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr. 2021 Sep 1;88(1):19–30. doi: 10.1097/QAI.0000000000002743

Table 1:

Modelled HIV/HSV-2 cofactors.

Cofactor Description Prior distribution used in model
Source (see appendix)
Conservative scenarioa Liberal scenarioa Fully liberal scenarioa
1 Per-act increased risk of HIV acquisition for HSV-2-infected individuals
a) For recent HSV-2 infection RRraHIV-A,s=2


b) For established HSV-2 infection RRraHIV-A,s=3

All females: T (7.2, 1, 12)b
All males: T (4.7, 1, 11)

Lower-risk females: T (2.5, 1, 4)
Lower-risk males: T (3.1, 1, 5)
FSWsc: T (1.5, 1, 3)
CFSWsd: T (1.8, 1, 3)
Adapted from 3, See Table S4 and section 2.2 of appendix
2 Per-act increased risk of HIV transmission for HSV-2-infected individuals (RRHIV-T, s~) 1 T (1.33,1,1.93) See Table C1 and section C1.3
3 Per-act increased risk of HSV-2 transmission for HIV-infected individuals (RRHSV-T, i~) 1 1 T (2.55,1.39,4.68) See Table C1 and section C1.4
4 Efficacy of ART in reducing the per-act increase in HSV-2 transmission risk due to HIV per sex act (RRART-THSV, i~) 1 1 T (0.58,0.37,0.92) See Table C1 and section C1.5
5 Effect of HSV-2 on the efficacy of ART in reducing per-act HIV transmission risk (RRHSV/ART-THIV) 1 1 U (0.95-1.00)e See Table C1 and section C1.6

Description of per-act HIV/HSV-2 cofactor prior distributions used in the model under the different model scenarios.

a

Conservative scenario: HSV-2 only increases HIV acquisition risk; liberal scenario: HSV-2 increases HIV acquisition and transmission risk; fully liberal scenario: HSV-2 increases HIV acquisition and transmission risk, HIV increases HSV-2 transmission risk but this is reduced if the individual is on ART, and HSV-2 can slightly alter the effect of ART on HIV transmission risk.

b

T(m,a,b) – triangular distribution (m=mode, a=minimum, b=maximum).

c

CFSWs – clients of FSWs

d

FSW – female sex workers.

e

U(a,b) – uniform distribution (a=minimum, b=maximum).