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. 2021 Aug 28;22:573. doi: 10.1186/s13063-021-05521-0

Table 3.

Pre-specified decision rules for the CLARITY trial. Details about how these probabilities are evaluated/approximated are available in the statistical analysis plan

Reason for stopping Posterior probability Decision rule
Effectiveness Pr(OR < log(1.00)) > 0.975 > 0.95
Futility Pr(OR < log(1.00)) > 0.975 < 0.02