Table 3. Comparison of AUC Values Achieved by Different Triage Scores on the Testing Cohort.
| Score | AUC value (95% CI) by mortality | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 d | 3 d | 7 d | Inpatient | 30 d | |
| SERP-2d | 0.821 (0.796-0.847) | 0.815 (0.793-0.837) | 0.798 (0.781-0.814) | 0.769 (0.757-0.781) | 0.754 (0.744-0.765) |
| SERP-7d | 0.810 (0.783-0.837) | 0.805 (0.783-0.828) | 0.793 (0.776-0.809) | 0.765 (0.753-0.777) | 0.754 (0.744-0.764) |
| SERP-30d | 0.821 (0.796-0.847) | 0.824 (0.804-0.845) | 0.826 (0.811-0.841) | 0.810 (0.799-0.821) | 0.823 (0.814-0.832) |
| CART | 0.779 (0.751-0.807) | 0.769 (0.745-0.793) | 0.738 (0.720-0.756) | 0.704 (0.691-0.717) | 0.700 (0.689-0.711) |
| PACS | 0.796 (0.775-0.817) | 0.778 (0.758-0.797) | 0.750 (0.735-0.765) | 0.703 (0.691-0.715) | 0.680 (0.670-0.690) |
| MEWS | 0.763 (0.734-0.792) | 0.750 (0.725-0.774) | 0.721 (0.702-0.739) | 0.680 (0.667-0.694) | 0.663 (0.652-0.674) |
| NEWS | 0.803 (0.774-0.832) | 0.792 (0.767-0.817) | 0.773 (0.755-0.791) | 0.734 (0.720-0.747) | 0.711 (0.700-0.723) |
| RAPS | 0.683 (0.652-0.715) | 0.674 (0.647-0.700) | 0.633 (0.613-0.653) | 0.594 (0.580-0.608) | 0.580 (0.568-0.591) |
| REMS | 0.729 (0.701-0.758) | 0.723 (0.698-0.748) | 0.693 (0.674-0.712) | 0.669 (0.656-0.682) | 0.659 (0.648-0.670) |
Abbreviations: AUC, area under the curve; CART, Cardiac Arrest Risk Triage; MEWS, Modified Early Warning Score; NEWS, National Early Warning Score; PACS, Patient Acuity Category Scale; RAPS, Rapid Acute Physiology Score; REMS, Rapid Emergency Medicine Score; SERP, Score for Emergency Risk Prediction.