Table 2.
The SCC (2020 US dollars) and the percentage change in the SCC due to tipping points collectively and individually
Expected SCC, | Increase due | |
TP | US$/ | to TP, % |
None | 52.03 | — |
Permafrost carbon | 56.41 | 8.4 |
Ocean methane hydrates | 58.85 | 13.1 |
SAF | 51.14 | −1.7 |
Amazon | 52.07 | 0.1 |
GIS | 52.97 | 1.8 |
WAIS | 53.57 | 2.9 |
AMOC | 51.28 | −1.4 |
Indian summer monsoon | 52.70 | 1.3 |
All TPs | 64.80 | 24.5 |
main effects, all TPs | — | 24.5 |
All costly TPs | 67.05 | 28.9 |
main effects, costly TPs only | — | 27.6 |
The expected SCC is computed over 10,000 Monte Carlo draws with 0.1% trimmed. Specification comprises RCP4.5-SSP2 emissions and GDP/population growth, Hope and Schaefer PCF, Whiteman et al. beta OMH, and IPSL AMOC hosing. TP, tipping point.