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. 2021 Aug 16;118(34):e2103081118. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2103081118

Table 2.

The SCC (2020 US dollars) and the percentage change in the SCC due to tipping points collectively and individually

Expected SCC, Increase due
TP US$/tCO2 to TP, %
None 52.03
Permafrost carbon 56.41 8.4
Ocean methane hydrates 58.85 13.1
SAF 51.14 −1.7
Amazon 52.07 0.1
GIS 52.97 1.8
WAIS 53.57 2.9
AMOC 51.28 −1.4
Indian summer monsoon 52.70 1.3
All TPs 64.80 24.5
main effects, all TPs 24.5
All costly TPs 67.05 28.9
main effects, costly TPs only 27.6

The expected SCC is computed over 10,000 Monte Carlo draws with 0.1% trimmed. Specification comprises RCP4.5-SSP2 emissions and GDP/population growth, Hope and Schaefer PCF, Whiteman et al. beta OMH, and IPSL AMOC hosing. TP, tipping point.