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. 2021 Aug 31;152:111359. doi: 10.1016/j.chaos.2021.111359

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© 2021 The Authors

Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.

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Fig. 9 — Prognostics for Brazil in three different scenarios: $Δ p_{c} = 0$ (no change in current situation), $Δ p_{c} = 0.5$ (a $50 %$ increase in the contagiousness) and $Δ p_{c} = 1$ (the new variant is twice as contagious as the current dominant $γ$ variant). a) New cases per day; b) Deaths per day; c) Zoom over (b).