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. 2021 Mar 25;2021(3):CD013717. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD013717.pub2

Taylor 2020.

Study characteristics
Study design Mathematical modelling study
  • Description: reduction of potentially infectious people by probabilistically stacking different measures

    • Custom method developed in paper

    • Applied to UK airports

Disease COVID‐19
Travel‐related control measure(s) Screening at national borders and quarantine of travellers 
  • Entry screening procedures: thermal imaging scanner; health checks; single PCR testing (4 days after arrival);  double PCR testing (upon arrival and after 4 days); single PCR testing (7 days after arrival); double PCR testing (upon arrival and after 7 days)

  • Quarantine procedures: quarantine for 7, 10, and 14 days


Date of implementation: n.r.
Country implementing the measure(s) Country protected by the measure: United Kingdom
Country restricted by the measure: top‐25 countries flying commercially to the UK (making up 86% of international flights into UK airports)
Outcome(s) Cases avoided due to the measure
  • Outcome 1: proportion of infectious arrivals prevented from onward transmission

    • Follow‐up: one week in August 2020


Cases detected due to the measure
  • Outcome 2: proportion of detected infectious passengers

    • Follow‐up: n.r.

Notes COI: “None declared.”
Funding: “Public Health England (PHE) commissioned and funded this work as well as providing data on worldwide cases, deaths and tests for COVID‐19. They did not have any role in the model design, analysis or preparation of the manuscript.”