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. 2021 Aug 31;4(8):e2123139. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.23139

Table. Estimated Number and Percent Change of Toronto and Peel Residents Visiting Shopping Malls and Restaurants in Other Regions of Ontario, One Week Before and After Lockdown (November 23, 2020)a.

Region of travel Shopping malls, No. (95% CI) Change, % (95% CI) Restaurants, No. (95% CI) Change, % (95% CI)
Before After Before After
Residents of Toronto
Urban core
Toronto 80 377 (71 220 to 90 715) 56 198 (48 035 to 65 788) −30.1 (−41.6 to −19.8) 59 996 (52 167 to 69 010) 47 139 (39 762 to 55 944) −21.4 (−33.7 to −5.1)
Peel 6273 (4098 to 9639) 5131 (3054 to 8641) −18.2 (−38.6 to −2.9) 2437 (1235 to 4831) 1807 (790 to 4257) −25.9 (−39.2 to −14.7)
Total 86 650 (75 318 to 100 354) 61 329 (51 089 to 74 429) −29.2 (−43.0 to −19.1) 62 433 (53 402 to 73 841) 48 946 (40 552 to 60 201) −21.6 (−34.0 to −7.1)
Peripheral regions
York 12 814 (9473 to 17 345) 19 283 (14 771 to 25 225) 50.5 (38.7 to 61.2) 7742 (5272 to 11 401) 8544 (5699 to 12 821) 10.4 (−4.7 to 32.8)
Durham 3776 (2195 to 6548) 4072 (2303 to 7275) 7.8 (−11.0 to 28.6) 1765 (814 to 3907) 1351 (531 to 3598) −23.5 (−44.5 to −1.4)
Halton 1736 (841 to 3821) 2424 (1184 to 5097) 39.6 (−7.4 to 92.6) 499 (108 to 2059) 744 (201 to 2709) 49.1 (20.4 to 82.4)
Total 18 326 (12 509 to 27 714) 25 779 (18 258 to 37 597) 40.7 (27.0 to 56.6) 10 006 (6194 to 17 367) 10 639 (6431 to 19 128) 6.3 (−8.0 to 23.6)
Other regions 1670 (250 to 7941) 3179 (1025 to 10 597) 90.4 (64.7 to 119.1) 2385 (531 to 9795) 2613 (665 to 10 590) 9.6 (−16.2 to 33.4)
Overall 106 646 (88 077 to 136 009) 90 287 (70 372 to 122 623) −15.3 (−28.5 to −5.4) 74 824 (60 127 to 101 003) 62 198 (47 648 to 89 919) −16.9 (−28.8 to 0.0)
Residents of Peel
Urban core
Toronto 9943 (7251 to 13 670) 5666 (3618 to 8912) −43.0 (−64.1 to −26.2) 6549 (4456 to 9677) 5296 (3348 to 8442) −19.1 (−39.6 to 1.2)
Peel 53 324 (46 434 to 61 240) 37 255 (31 230 to 44 472) −30.1 (−43.3 to −14.6) 22 152 (17 877 to 27 460) 16 101 (12 319 to 21 078) −27.3 (−39.4 to −10.8)
Total 63 267 (53 685 to 74 910) 42 921 (34 848 to 53 384) −32.2 (−42.5 to −20.2) 28 701 (22 333 to 37 137) 21 397 (15 667 to 29 520) −25.4 (−38.9 to −7.2)
Peripheral regions
York 3816 (2297 to 6372) 6508 (4268 to 9945) 70.5 (55.5 to 89.1) 1572 (732 to 3449) 1599 (728 to 3663) 1.7 (−15.9 to 24.5)
Durham 289 (96 to 909) 40 (2 to 232) −86.2 (−151.8 to −24.5) 227 (42 to 997) 42 (2 to 239) −81.5 (−155.3 to −29.6)
Halton 5260 (3402 to 8153) 8948 (6274 to 12 820) 70.1 (53.5 to 85.1) 3373 (1972 to 5810) 4140 (2461 to 7017) 22.7 (0.0 to 38.3)
Total 9365 (5795 to 15 434) 15 496 (10 544 to 22 997) 65.5 (54.2 to 81.7) 5172 (2746 to 10 256) 5781 (3191 to 10 919) 11.8 (−6.0 to 20.9)
Other regions 3257 (956 to 11 516) 3690 (1105 to 12 823) 13.3 (−2.4 to 32.8) 2029 (468 to 8277) 1461 (343 to 5854) −28.0 (−49.8 to −3.6)
Overall 75 889 (60 436 to 101 860) 62 107 (46 497 to 89 204) −18.2 (−30.0 to −4.7) 35 902 (25 547 to 55 670) 28 639 (19 201 to 46 293) −20.2 (−32.1 to −6.7)
a

95% CIs were calculated using the binomial confidence intervals for daily proportion of visitors and are scaled with the population of each region of residence.