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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 Sep 1.
Published in final edited form as: JAMA. 2021 May 18;325(19):1998–2011. doi: 10.1001/jama.2021.5746

Table 1.

Screening Test Characteristics Used in the Analysis

Screening test/test characteristic Value Source
FIT (per person) Lin et al,2 2021
 Specificity 0.97
Sensitivity for adenomas 1 to<6 mmSensitivity for adenomas 6 to<10 mm} 0.07a
 Sensitivity for adenomas ≥10 mm 0.22b
 Sensitivity for colorectal cancer 0.74
sDNA-FIT (per person) Lin et al,2 2021
 Specificity 0.91
Sensitivity for adenomas 1 to<6 mmSensitivity for adenomas 6 to<10 mm} 0.15a
 Sensitivity for adenomas ≥10 mm 0.42b
 Sensitivity for colorectal cancer 0.94
Colonoscopy (within reach, per lesion)c
 Specificity 0.86d Schroy et al,15 2013
 Sensitivity for adenomas 1 to <6 mm 0.75 van Rijn et al,16 2006
 Sensitivity for adenomas 6 to <10 mm 0.85 van Rijn et al,16 2006
 Sensitivity for adenomas ≥10 mm 0.95 van Rijn et al,16 2006
 Sensitivity for colorectal cancer 0.95 By assumptione
SIG (within reach, per lesion)
 Specificity 0.87d Weissfeld et al,17 2005
 Sensitivity for adenomas 1 to <6 mm 0.75 By assumptionf
 Sensitivity for adenomas 6 to <10 mm 0.85 By assumptionf
 Sensitivity for adenomas ≥10 mm 0.95 By assumptionf
 Sensitivity for colorectal cancer 0.95 By assumptionf
CTC (per lesion) Johnson et al,18 2008
 Specificity 0.88g
 Sensitivity for adenomas 1 to <6 mm NR
 Sensitivity for adenomas 6 to <10 mm 0.57
 Sensitivity for adenomas ≥10 mm 0.84
 Sensitivity for colorectal cancer 0.84e

Abbreviations: CTC, computed tomography colonography; FIT, fecal immunochemical test (with positivity cutoff of 20 μg of hemoglobin per gram of feces); NR, not reported (adenoma size < 6 mm [the threshold size for referral to colonoscopy]); sDNA-FIT, multitarget stool DNA test with a fecal immunochemical assay; SIG, flexible sigmoidoscopy.

a

For persons with nonadvanced adenomas. For persons with adenomas 1 mm to <6 mm, sensitivity was assumed to equal the positivity rate in persons without adenomas. Sensitivity for persons with adenomas 6 mm to <10 mm was chosen such that the weighted mean sensitivity for persons with adenomas 1 mm to <6 mm and 6 mm to <10 mm was equal to the sensitivity for nonadvanced adenomas.

b

For persons with advanced adenomas (ie, adenomas ≥10 mm, adenomas with advanced histology, or both); the studies in the meta-analysis in Lin et al2 did not provide sensitivity for adenomas ≥10 mm separately from advanced adenomas.

c

The same test characteristics were assumed to apply to all colonoscopies, regardless of indication. No correlation in findings at CTC or SIG and follow-up colonoscopy was assumed.

d

The lack of specificity with endoscopy reflects detection of nonadenomatous polyps, which, in the case of sigmoidoscopy, may lead to unnecessary follow-up colonoscopy, and in the case of colonoscopy, leads to unnecessary polypectomy, which is associated with an increased risk of complications.

e

Sensitivity for cancer was assumed to be the same as sensitivity for adenomas ≥10 mm because of the small number of cancers detected in screening studies.

f

Sensitivity for flexible sigmoidoscopy was assumed to equal that of colonoscopy within reach of the sigmoidoscope and 0 for lesions beyond reach of the scope.

g

The lack of specificity with CTC reflects detection of nonadenomatous lesions ≥6 mm, artifacts, stool, and adenomas smaller than the 6-mm threshold for colonoscopy referral that are measured as ≥6 mm.