Table 2. Estimated Associations Between COVID-19 Daily Growth Rate and Log Daily Jail Population and Anticontagion Policies in Multivariate Regression Analysis With County Fixed Effects.
| Independent variable | Coefficients for growth rate of COVID-19 cases | |
|---|---|---|
| Quadratic (95% CI) | Linear (95% CI) | |
| Log daily jail population 2 wk ago | −0.020 (−0.031 to −0.008)a | 0.008 (0.003 to 0.012)b |
| Log daily jail population squared 2 wk ago | 0.004 (0.002 to 0.006)b | NAc |
| Nursing home visitation ban policy in effect 2 wk ago | −0.073 (−0.088 to −0.058)b | −0.074 (−0.089 to −0.058)b |
| Schools closure policy in effect 2 wk ago | −0.043 (−0.066 to −0.020)b | −0.046 (−0.069 to −0.022)b |
| Mandatory mask policy (state-wide) in effect 2 wk ago | −0.025 (−0.033 to −0.017)b | −0.025 (−0.033 to −0.017)b |
| Prison visitation ban policy in effect 2 wk ago | −0.012 (−0.022 to −0.003)d | −0.013 (−0.023 to −0.003)a |
| Stay-at-home policy in effect 2 wk ago | −0.008 (−0.016 to 0.001)e | −0.008 (−0.017 to 0.001)e |
| Other nonessential businesses closure policy in effect 2 wk ago | −0.005 (−0.018 to 0.007) | −0.006 (−0.018 to 0.007) |
| Gyms closure policy in effect 2 wk ago | −0.005 (−0.013 to 0.003) | −0.006 (−0.014 to 0.002) |
| Bars closure policy in effect 2 wk ago | −0.003 (−0.011 to 0.005) | −0.003 (−0.010 to 0.005) |
| Movie theaters closure policy in effect 2 wk ago | −0.001 (−0.009 to 0.007) | −0.002 (−0.010 to 0.007) |
| Restaurants closure policy in effect 2 wk ago | 0.022 (0.011 to 0.033)b | 0.023 (0.012 to 0.035)b |
Abbreviation: NA, not applicable.
a
P < .01.
b
P < .001.
c
Linear model will not have a coefficient for the quadratic term.
d
P < .05.
e
P < .10.