Table 3. Estimated Associations Between COVID-19 Daily Growth Rate and Log Daily Jail Population Regressed on Jail Mass Release Events and Anticontagion Policies in Multivariate Analysis With County Fixed Effects.
| Independent variable | Coefficients for growth rate of COVID-19 cases (95% CI) | Log daily jail population 2 wk ago (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|
| Jail mass release event 2 wk ago | −0.031 (−0.043 to −0.019)a | −0.053 (−0.141 to 0.035) |
| Nursing home visitation ban in effect 2 wk ago | −0.030 (−0.066 to 0.006)b | 0.084 (0.015 to 0.153)c |
| School closure policy in effect 2 wk ago | −0.066 (−0.093 to −0.040)a | −0.133 (−0.171 to −0.094)a |
| Mandatory mask policy (state-wide) in effect 2 wk ago | −0.020 (−0.031 to −0.008)d | −0.038 (−0.117 to 0.041) |
| Prison visitation ban policy in effect 2 wk ago | −0.011 (−0.030 to 0.009) | −0.097 (−0.138 to −0.056)a |
| Stay-at-home policy in effect 2 wk ago | −0.006 (−0.016 to 0.005) | −0.036 (−0.079 to 0.006)b |
| Other nonessential businesses closure policy in effect 2 wk ago | −0.016 (−0.023 to −0.008)a | −0.061 (−0.133 to 0.010)b |
| Gym closure policy in effect 2 wk ago | −0.004 (−0.013 to 0.005) | −0.074 (−0.147 to −0.000)c |
| Bar closure policy in effect 2 wk ago | 0.007 (−0.002 to 0.017) | 0.021 (−0.039 to 0.082) |
| Movie theater closure policy in effect 2 wk ago | −0.0095 (−0.0163 to −0.0026)d | −0.0623 (−0.1238 to −0.0009)c |
| Restaurant closure policy in effect 2 wk ago | 0.010 (−0.005 to 0.024) | 0.102 (0.039 to 0.164)d |
a
P < .001.
b
P < .10.
c
P < .05.
d
P < .01.