Table 2.
The cost of inaction in terms of tuberculosis deaths and economic losses, by World Bank region, from 2020 to 2050
|
Economic losses, 2018 $US billions |
Total economic losses, 2018 $US billions | Total tuberculosis deaths, millions | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Asia and Pacific | Europe and central Asia | Latin America and Caribbean | Middle East and north Africa | North America | South Asia | Sub-Saharan Africa | |||
| Business-as-usual scenario | 5110 (4530–5750) | 763 (706–871) | 351 (303–402) | 172 (126–223) | 100 (96–103) | 7120 (6470–7850) | 3840 (2690–5190) | 17 456 (14 921–20 389) | 31·8 (25·2–39·5) |
| Target met in 2030 | 1250 (1110–1400) | 253 (239–268) | 93 (82–104) | 43 (32–57) | 48 (47–49) | 1540 (1400–1690) | 1110 (779–1510) | 4337 (3689–5077) | 8·0 (6·3–10·1) |
| Savings from meeting target in 2030 | 3860 (3420–4350) | 510 (467–603) | 258 (220–298) | 129 (94–166) | 52 (49–54) | 5580 (5070–6160) | 2730 (1911–3680) | 13 119 (11 232–15 311) | 23·8 (18·9–29·5) |
| Target met in 2045 | 2080 (1840–2340) | 422 (396–450) | 162 (143–183) | 76 (57–101) | 58 (57–59) | 2600 (2370–2860) | 1900 (1330–2590) | 7299 (6192–8583) | 13·7 (10·8–17·2) |
| Savings from meeting target in 2045 | 3030 (2690–3410) | 341 (310–421) | 189 (160–219) | 96 (69–122) | 42 (40–44) | 4520 (4100–4990) | 1940 (1360–2600) | 10 157 (8729–11 805) | 18·1 (14·3–22·4) |
| Cost of inaction | 830 (730–940) | 169 (157–182) | 69 (61–79) | 34 (25–44) | 10 (10–11) | 1060 (970–1170) | 790 (551–1080) | 2962 (2503–3506) | 5·7 (5·1–8·1) |
The cost of inaction was computed as the difference in tuberculosis deaths and economic losses between the scenario of meeting the tuberculosis mortality target in 2030 versus meeting it in 2045. Data are presented with 95% uncertainty intervals.