Table 2.
Estimated number of diagnosed prostate cancer, stomach cancer, and total cancer cases, 2020–30
|
Prostate |
Stomach |
Total |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COVID–19 | No COVID–19 | Excess | COVID–19 | No COVID–19 | Excess | COVID–19 | No COVID–19 | Excess | |
| 2020 | 3290 (3010 to 3606) | 5519 (5228 to 5919) | −2228 (−2578 to −1930) | 2099 (1859 to 2323) | 3010 (2847 to 3242) | −910 (−1261 to −590) | 14 513 (13 920 to 15 025) | 21 373 (20 727 to 22 097) | −6860 (−7768 to −6045) |
| 2021 | 6978 (5802 to 8203) | 5932 (5541 to 6528) | 1045 (−187 to 1931) | 3327 (2505 to 4112) | 3176 (2912 to 3548) | 150 (−803 to 828) | 26 216 (24 306 to 28 887) | 23 017 (22 075 to 24 295) | 3198 (1356 to 5017) |
| 2022 | 7220 (6146 to 8653) | 6395 (5892 to 7404) | 826 (109 to 1751) | 3876 (3240 to 4901) | 3375 (3040 to 3905) | 501 (48 to 1231) | 27 584 (25 426 to 30 453) | 24 910 (23 553 to 27 071) | 2674 (1318 to 4032) |
| 2023 | 6950 (6163 to 8440) | 6898 (6239 to 8386) | 52 (−213 to 407) | 3662 (3105 to 4575) | 3573 (3103 to 4387) | 88 (−140 to 406) | 27 213 (25 230 to 30 587) | 27 055 (25 018 to 30 361) | 158 (−373 to 746) |
| 2024 | 7446 (6489 to 9853) | 7478 (6561 to 9635) | −33 (−252 to 194) | 3850 (3235 to 5096) | 3829 (3267 to 4940) | 21 (−132 to 199) | 29 562 (26 787 to 34 792) | 29 617 (26 592 to 34 717) | −54 (−605 to 419) |
| 2025 | 8115 (6915 to 11 486) | 8152 (6935 to 11 606) | −37 (−282 to 220) | 4123 (3354 to 5785) | 4134 (3365 to 5793) | −10 (−146 to 162) | 32 591 (28 413 to 40 644) | 32 696 (28 620 to 40 837) | −105 (−566 to 318) |
| 2026 | 8896 (7348 to 14 040) | 8936 (7275 to 13 945) | −40 (−330 to 200) | 4445 (3500 to 6685) | 4452 (3553 to 6700) | −7 (−180 to 152) | 36 247 (30 747 to 48 572) | 36 320 (30 768 to 48 727) | −72 (−570 to 378) |
| 2027 | 9812 (7659 to 17 539) | 9844 (7744 to 17 481) | −32 (−318 to 311) | 4852 (3622 to 7898) | 4866 (3656 to 7969) | −14 (−190 to 178) | 40 728 (32 906 to 60 266) | 40 852 (32 958 to 60 709) | −123 (−634 to 509) |
| 2028 | 10 938 (8124 to 22 334) | 10 970 (8160 to 22 313) | −32 (−287 to 199) | 5315 (3738 to 9124) | 5334 (3760 to 9262) | −19 (−228 to 175) | 46 355 (35 350 to 77 072) | 46 469 (35 489 to 77 474) | −114 (−724 to 375) |
| 2029 | 12 310 (8522 to 28 751) | 12 364 (8492 to 28 812) | −54 (−355 to 250) | 5895 (3930 to 11 019) | 5910 (3930 to 11 035) | −15 (−188 to 181) | 53 457 (37 962 to 100 726) | 53 627 (37 762 to 100 803) | −170 (−716 to 401) |
| 2030 | 14 050 (9013 to 37 512) | 14 105 (9076 to 37 703) | −55 (−527 to 215) | 6583 (4064 to 13 615) | 6596 (4074 to 13 442) | −12 (−237 to 212) | 62 655 (40 774 to 133 741) | 62 774 (41 206 to 134 221) | −119 (−737 to 504) |
| Total: 2020–30 | 96 005 (77 180 to 16 8766) | 96 594 (77 265 to 16 8979) | −589 (−1270 to 74) | 48 027 (37 713 to 74 006) | 48 254 (37 972 to 74 061) | −228 (−889 to 323) | 39 7123 (32 3993 to 59 4227) | 39 8711 (32 5095 to 59 6798) | −1588 (−3313 to −79) |
| Total: 2022–30 | 85 737 (66 611 to 15 7916) | 85 143 (66 314 to 15 6928) | 594 (−504 to 1883) | 42 601 (32 243 to 67 696) | 42 068 (32 104 to 67 154) | 532 (−237 to 1678) | 35 6394 (28 3618 to 55 1615) | 35 4321 (28 2236 to 55 1442) | 2073 (−86 to 4310) |
Data are mean cases (95% uncertainty interval).