Table 4.
Estimated number of prostate cancer, stomach cancer, and total cancer deaths, 2020–30
|
Prostate |
Stomach |
Total |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COVID–19 | No COVID–19 | Excess | COVID–19 | No COVID–19 | Excess | COVID–19 | No COVID–19 | Excess | |
| 2020 | 788 (693 to 898) | 919 (813 to 1037) | −131 (−193 to −74) | 2139 (1965 to 2278) | 2279 (2116 to 2453) | −140 (−300 to −29) | 7303 (7026 to 7536) | 8072 (7775 to 8408) | −769 (−1026 to −572) |
| 2021 | 916 (697 to 1188) | 986 (888 to 1114) | −70 (−295 to 256) | 2071 (1869 to 2343) | 2401 (2240 to 2617) | −330 (−662 to −41) | 7990 (7298 to 9118) | 8671 (8272 to 9101) | −680 (−1365 to 125) |
| 2022 | 1472 (1215 to 1944) | 1060 (912 to 1234) | 412 (136 to 757) | 2673 (2100 to 3415) | 2544 (2317 to 2814) | 129 (−486 to 631) | 11 328 (10 162 to 12 964) | 9369 (8841 to 10 103) | 1959 (994 to 3246) |
| 2023 | 1288 (1082 to 1639) | 1141 (1001 to 1384) | 147 (−9 to 314) | 2929 (2603 to 3331) | 2677 (2404 to 3046) | 251 (13 to 510) | 11 070 (10 263 to 12 269) | 10 134 (9467 to 11 389) | 936 (442 to 1506) |
| 2024 | 1269 (1087 to 1648) | 1237 (1065 to 1491) | 32 (−81 to 166) | 2960 (2546 to 3594) | 2852 (2506 to 3412) | 107 (−88 to 362) | 11 521 (10 391 to 13 385) | 11 117 (10 110 to 13 098) | 404 (21 to 819) |
| 2025 | 1368 (1167 to 1867) | 1342 (1136 to 1747) | 26 (−87 to 140) | 3068 (2595 to 3950) | 3058 (2643 to 3844) | 11 (−172 to 215) | 12 427 (10 869 to 15 473) | 12 252 (10 740 to 15 304) | 175 (−187 to 535) |
| 2026 | 1490 (1208 to 2199) | 1471 (1204 to 2109) | 19 (−109 to 126) | 3279 (2693 to 4483) | 3278 (2747 to 4496) | 1 (−157 to 170) | 13 711 (11 580 to 18 543) | 13 613 (11 511 to 18 484) | 98 (−242 to 462) |
| 2027 | 1600 (1264 to 2606) | 1605 (1284 to 2580) | −6 (−122 to 110) | 3533 (2810 to 5220) | 3538 (2842 to 5188) | −5 (−236 to 167) | 15 316 (12 409 to 22 594) | 15 304 (12 391 to 22 559) | 12 (−349 to 303) |
| 2028 | 1776 (1354 to 3256) | 1780 (1347 to 3186) | −4 (−123 to 110) | 3847 (2881 to 5999) | 3856 (2954 to 6262) | −9 (−212 to 179) | 17 394 (13 368 to 28 628) | 17 424 (13 277 to 28 773) | −30 (−467 to 360) |
| 2029 | 1995 (1432 to 4122) | 1973 (1414 to 4016) | 23 (−104 to 148) | 4210 (3044 to 7053) | 4221 (3013 to 7215) | −11 (−217 to 181) | 20 087 (14 540 to 37 262) | 20 072 (14 501 to 37 396) | 15 (−342 to 383) |
| 2030 | 2244 (1500 to 5324) | 2231 (1494 to 5299) | 14 (−102 to 172) | 4650 (3138 to 8478) | 4675 (3192 to 8505) | −25 (−221 to 180) | 23 501 (15 654 to 49 699) | 23 526 (15 680 to 50 005) | −26 (−457 to 444) |
| Total: 2020–30 | 16 207 (13 190 to 25 636) | 15 744 (12 726 to 24 933) | 463 (−81 to 1122) | 35 359 (29 347 to 49 661) | 35 380 (29 434 to 49 947) | −20 (−561 to 447) | 15 1648 (12 5100 to 22 4075) | 14 9555 (12 2624 to 22 2480) | 2093 (856 to 3227) |
| Total: 2022–30 | 14 503 (11 590 to 23 973) | 13 839 (10 937 to 22 893) | 664 (193 to 1293) | 31 150 (25 108 to 45 189) | 30 700 (24 890 to 44 942) | 450 (−69 to 1073) | 13 6354 (109 623 to 208 462) | 13 2812 (10 6300 to 20 5324) | 3542 (2236 to 4816) |
Data are mean deaths (95% uncertainty interval).