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. 2021 Sep 2;7(9):e07905. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2021.e07905

Table 1.

Parameters and initial values of the SEILR system (1).

Symbol Definition Initial Value Reference
K Number of age groups 3
Ni Subgroup population size
Ntotal 14 566 547 [58]
N1: (0-19) 3 141 693 [58]
N2: (20-59) 7 977 131 [58]
N3: (60+) 3 447 723 [58]
cij Number of daily contacts with Group j per member of Group i Table 2
p Transmission probability per contagious contact Section 2.5
βij Effective contact-rate, i,j ∈ {1,…,K} cijp
σ Time from exposure until contagious (days) 1/2.5 [32]
ψ Time from contagious until symptomatic (days) 1/3.5a [32], [59]
α1 Proportion of permanently asymptomatic cases in N1 0.963 [35]
α2 Proportion of permanently asymptomatic cases in N2 0.7 [35]
α3 Proportion of permanently asymptomatic cases in N3 0.35 [35]
ϵ Proportion of compliance with isolation 0.95 assumption
κ Isolation delay 1 assumption
γ Recovery/removal rate 1/7 [31]
a

The parameter ψ is estimated from the relationship 1/σ + 1/ψ = incubation period, where 1/σ = 2.5 days and incubation period = 6 days.