Table 2. Estimated cumulative effects (lag0-21) on YLL under different patterns of temperature relative to the YLL at the reference temperature.
| Variables | Overall YLL | OT (°C) |
Extreme cold *
(years, 95% CI) |
Mild cold *
(years, 95% CI) |
Mild heat *
(years, 95% CI) |
Extreme heat *
(years, 95% CI) |
| Abbreviations: YLL=years of life lost; OT=optimum temperature. The reference temperature was set at the temperature with lowest YLL.
* Extreme cold, mild cold, extreme hot, and mild hot temperature were defined as 2.5th, 25th, 97.5th and 75th percentile of temperature distribution, respectively, compared with the reference temperature (minimum YLL temperature). | ||||||
| Overall region | 16,793,014.0 | 25.6 | 19.77 (11.16, 28.40) | 15.34 (7.77, 22.91) | 2.99 (0.49, 5.49) | 5.47 (2.57, 8.37) |
| Northeast | 3,562,080.8 | 23.2 | 53.73 (8.91, 98.55) | 30.15 (−5.48, 65.77) | 23.96 (4.88, 43.04) | 21.16 (0.45, 41.88) |
| Northwest | 979,861.7 | 17.0 | 12.51 (−22.04, 47.05) | 14.57 (−18.83, 47.97) | 1.13 (−17.55, 19.80) | 10.53 (−5.84, 26.90) |
| North | 1,573,462.6 | 24.9 | 41.67 (3.70, 79.64) | 46.61 (7.83, 85.39) | 11.95 (−4.68, 28.) | 11.39 (−0.07, 22.85) |
| Central | 2,380,406.4 | 16.7 | 22.28 (−16.52, 61.07) | 15.58 (−17.04, 48.20) | 0.01 (−0.56, 0.59) | 17.09 (−2.79, 36.97) |
| East | 5,413,438.8 | 25.2 | 21.80 (8.38, 35.23) | 7.38 (−5.65, 20.41) | 1.69 (−3.35, 6.72) | 18.90 (9.89, 27.90) |
| Southwest | 1,786,702.7 | 27.7 | 54.18 (9.90, 29.19) | 16.54 (7.86, 25.21) | 3.34 (0.01, 6.68) | 4.41 (2.31, 6.51) |
| South | 1,097,060.8 | 28.7 | 84.98 (22.29, 147.68) | 32.24 (−1.88, 66.37) | 3.99 (−11.59, 19.57) | 2.24 (−8.18, 12.66) |
| Subtype | ||||||
| Hemorrhagic stroke | 9,852,444.0 | 28.2 | 11.62 (4.51, 18.73) | 10.53 (4.08, 16.97) | 3.13 (0.13, 6.12) | 0.36 (−0.60, 1.32) |
| Ischemic stroke | 6,028,666.0 | 22.4 | 7.55 (3.50, 11.60) | 4.63 (1.18, 8.08) | 0.03 (−0.20, 0.25) | 6.33 (3.64, 9.01) |
| Sex | ||||||
| Male | 10,033,788.0 | 26.0 | 13.05 (6.87, 19.24) | 10.57 (5.32, 15.81) | 2.09 (−0.02, 4.21) | 2.43 (0.71, 4.17) |
| Female | 6,759,226.0 | 25.1 | 5.53 (0.92, 10.15) | 4.19 (0.04, 8.34) | 0.84 (−0.53, 2.21) | 2.45 (0.76, 4.13) |