. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 Sep 7.

Published in final edited form as: ACS Earth Space Chem. 2021 Aug 10;5(8):10.1021/acsearthspacechem.1c00183. doi: 10.1021/acsearthspacechem.1c00183

Table 5.

Incremental U.S. Health Benefits of the Montreal Protocol as Amended and Adjusted (Emissions Scenario WMO A1) Relative to No Controls and to the Original (1987) Montreal Protocol for the Period 1980–2100 and over the Lifetimes of People Born between 1890 and 2100

		health effects avoided by Montreal Protocol as amended and adjusted, compared with no ODS controls		incremental health effects avoided by Montreal Protocol as amended and adjusted, compared with 1987 Montreal Protocol
health effect		years 1980–2100	lifetimes of people born 1890–2100	years 1980–2100	lifetimes of people born 1890–2100
skin cancer cases (millions)	keratinocyte	101	432	38	230
	melanoma	3	11	1	6
	total	104	443	39	236
skin cancer mortality (thousands)	keratinocyte	170	800	60	400
	melanoma	380	1500	150	800
	total	550	2300	210	1300
cataract incidence (millions)		15	63	5	33