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. 2021 Sep 8;148(5):1176–1191. doi: 10.1016/j.jaci.2021.08.021

Table I.

Projected IR-dependent COVID-19 phenotypes

Characteristic Phenotype 1 Phenotype 2 Phenotype 3
Pre–COVID-19 IC-IF state IChigh-IFlow IChigh-IFlow IClow-IFhigh
SARS-CoV-2–induced IClow-IFhigh state Resistance to induction Susceptibility to induction Susceptibility to induction
Corollaries of pre–COVID-19 IC-IF state
 Longevity Survival advantage Survival advantage Survival disadvantage
 Influenza infection severity§ Asymptomatic or mild Moderate Severe
 AIDS resistance High Moderate Low
Corollaries of pre–COVID-19 plus SARS-CoV-2–induced IC-IF states#
 Resistance to progressive COVID-19# High Moderate Low
 Survival# Pre–COVID-19 survival advantage preserved Pre–COVID-19 survival advantage lost Additive survival disadvantage
Sex bias†† Females Males

IC-IF (immunocompetence-inflammation) states: IChigh-IFlow signifies superior IR; IClow-IFhigh signifies a deficit in IR. In patients with COVID-19, phenotype 1 is defined by a pre–COVID-19 IChigh-IFlow state and resistance to induction of an IClow-IFhigh state in response to SARS-CoV-2–associated antigenic stimulation; phenotype 2 is defined by a pre–COVID-19 IChigh-IFlow state and susceptibility to induction of an IClow-IFhigh state in response to SARS-CoV-2–associated antigenic stimulation, and phenotype 3 is defined by a pre-COVID-19 IClow-IFhigh state and susceptibility to induction of an IClow-IFhigh state in response to SARS-CoV-2–associated antigenic stimulation. Corollaries (longevity, influenza infection severity, and AIDS risk) associated with pre–COVID-19 IC-IF states are contrasted with corollaries of pre–COVID-19 plus SARS-CoV-2–induced IC-IF states.

Evaluated in non-COVID-19 cohorts.

Evaluated in the non–COVID-19 HIV-seronegative, Offspring cohort of the FHS; survival advantage and disadvantage signify lower and higher hazards of mortality over 9 y, respectively.

§

Evaluated in non-COVID-19 HIV-seronegative, influenza infection challenge and natural influenza infection cohorts.

Evaluated in a non–COVID-19 HIV infection natural history cohort.

#

Evaluated in a COVID-19 cohort; survival advantage and disadvantage signify lower and higher hazards of mortality, respectively, during COVID-19. Additive survival disadvantage refers to the combined effects of pre–COVID-19 IClow-IFhigh state and the unique infection-induced IClow-IFhigh state induced in patients with COVID-19.

††

Evaluated in non-COVID-19 cohorts and a COVID-19 cohort.