TABLE 4.
Interrupted Time Series Evaluating Monthly Rate Change for Cumulative Monthly Wait‐List Additions LTs Performed During COVID‐19 Pandemic
| Wait‐List Additions (Number per Month) | LTs (Number per Month) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monthly Rate of Increase (95% CI) | P Value | Monthly Rate of Increase (95% CI) | P Value | |
| Overall | 0.194 | 0.146 | ||
| Predicted rate | 1,064.4 (1,057.0,1,071.9) | 701.8 (697.0, 706.7) | ||
| Actual rate | 1,046.2 (1,018.6, 1,073.8) | 712.9 (698.3, 727.5) | ||
| Change in rate | −18.3 (−46.8, 10.3) | +11.0 (−4.3, 26.4) | ||
| % change | −1.74% | +1.57% | ||
| ALD | <0.001 | <0.001 | ||
| Predicted rate | 393.2 (391.3, 395.2) | 258.4 (253.9, 262.9) | ||
| Actual rate | 421.8 (409.0, 434.6) | 286.0 (275.7, 296.2) | ||
| Change in rate | +28.6 (15.6, 41.5) | +27.6 (16.4, 38.7) | ||
| % change | +7.26% | +10.67% | ||
| NASH | 0.001 | <0.001 | ||
| Predicted rate | 257.1 (253.4, 260.9) | 166.6 (165.4, 167.8) | ||
| Actual rate | 244.0 (238.2, 249.7) | 171.6 (169.5, 173.7) | ||
| Change in rate | −13.2 (−20.1, −6.3) | +5.0 (3.1, 6.9) | ||
| % change | −5.12% | +3.01% | ||
| HCV | <0.001 | <0.001 | ||
| Predicted rate | 164.0 (157.7, 170.3) | 129.9 (128.3,131.5) | ||
| Actual rate | 128.5 (126.1, 130.9) | 111.4 (108.9, 114.0) | ||
| Change in rate | −35.6 (−42.4, −28.7) | −18.5 (−21.4, −15.5) | ||
| % change | −21.69% | −14.22% | ||
The predicted rate during the pandemic was determined using cumulative monthly counts in the pre‐COVID era from January 1, 2016, through February 28, 2020.