Table 2.
Mean SSB consumption in the Solomon Islands (2012), modelled change in SSB consumption, change in weight and impact on health outcomes
| Modelled tax rate | Mean intake SSBs per person (g/day) | Change in SSB consumption (g/day) | Change in weight (kg) | Total HALYs gained (95% UI) | Lifetime change in incident cases for existing populationa |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cancersb (95% UI) | Heart disease and strokec (95% UI) | Type 2 Diabetes (95% UI) | Osteoarthritis (95% UI) | |||||
| 10% (50% pass-through) | 88 | −4.1 | −0.06 | 312 (265 to 367) | −35 (−99 to 12) | −322 (−364 to −280) | −6517 (−7632 to −5392) | −3833 (−4888 to −2707) |
| 20% tax | 88 | −8.0 | −0.13 | 606 (510 to 724) | −69 (−194 to 20) | −623 (−701 to −550) | −12 692 (−14 822 to −10 519) | −2009 (−2567 to −1438) |
| 40% tax | 88 | −15.2 | −0.24 | 1149 (973 to 1360) | −132 (−363 to 35) | −1180 (−1320 to −1056) | −24 138 (−28 080 to −20 083) | −1027 (−1327 to −722) |
Negative numbers indicate a reduction. HALYs, health-adjusted life years; UI, uncertainty interval; SSBs: Sugar sweetened beverages.
a
Based on 2013 population size.
b
Cancers include colon, breast, endometrial and kidney.
c
Heart disease includes hypertensive heart disease, ischaemic heart disease.