Table 5.
fsQCA results: Analysis of sufficiency for the absence of trade resilience.
|
Month (2020) |
Intermediate Solution1,2,3,4(consistency, unique coverage) | Solution consistency (coverage) | Typical cases | Cases covered |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| March |
GOV*∼GHS*∼LPI (0.781, 0.053) GOV*∼ECOG*∼LPI (0.776, 0.016) GOV*∼SOCG*∼LPI (0.814, 0.021) ∼GHS*∼ECOG*∼SOCG*∼LPI*∼GNI (0.895, 0.018) |
0.793 (0.361) | UKR MLT KAZ RUS MAR, PER, SLV EGY |
12 |
| April |
GOV*DEATHS (0.827, 0.306) GOV*ECOG*∼LPI (0.868, 0.067) GOV*∼GHS*∼SOCG*∼LPI (0.841, 0.011) GOV*∼ECOG*∼SOCG*∼GNI (0.844, 0.030) ∼GHS*∼ECOG*∼SOCG*∼LPI*∼GNI (0.898, 0.017) |
0.805 (0.659) | BEL, AUT, FRA, ITA UKR, MLT, ALB GTM, PRY IND, PHL BOL |
30 |
| May |
GOV*DEATHS*∼LPI (0.885, 0.011) GOV*∼ECOG*LPI (0.796, 0.055) GOV*∼SOCG*∼GNI (0.861, 0.015) GOV*SOCG*∼LPI (0.797, 0.027) ∼GHS*DEATHS*∼LPI (0.933, 0.019) |
0.782 (0.429) |
RUS, PER COL, ARG, BRA SLV, EGY, VNM UKR, ALB, KAZ BLR, BOL |
23 |
| June |
GOV*DEATHS*∼ECOG (0.867, 0.103) GOV*DEATHS*∼SOCG*∼LPI (0.893, 0.023) ∼GOV*∼GHS*ECOG*∼SOCG∼LPI*∼GNI (0.892, 0.036) |
0.876 (0.364) |
ARG, COL, BRA, RUS PER, SLV TUN |
12 |
| July |
GOV*DEATHS (0.836, 0.185) ∼GHS*∼LPI (0.840, 0.051) DEATHS*∼LPI (0.868, 0.004) ∼GOV*∼ECOG*∼SOCG (0.922, 0.005) ∼ECOG*∼SOCG*∼GNI (0.912, 0.018) GOV*∼SOCG*∼LPI*∼GNI (0.901, 0.003) |
0.817 (0.663) |
ARG, ZAF, BRA, USA TUN, UKR, MLT BIH IDN IND, PHL MAR |
27 |
Key: GOV: Government response; GHS: Healthcare preparedness; DEATHS: Death rate in the month (per 100 k).
ECOG: Economic globalization; LPI: Logistics performance; GNI: National Income (per capita); SOCG: Social Globalization; ‘∼’ indicates the negation of the set (e.g., ∼GOV indicates “NOT strong government response”).
Core conditions in bold, contributing conditions italicized.
Consistency thresholds ranged from 0.81 to 0.86; PRI threshold set to 0.6.
For each month, the configuration with the highest unique coverage is underlined.
Directional expectations: we expect the presence of DEATHS and GOV, and the absence of all other conditions, to be associated with the negation of the outcome. Our results are not sensitive to changes in directional expectations.