Table B3.
Comparison between the baseline and the alternative intermediate solutions.
Month | Presence of resilience (RESI) | Absence of resilience (∼RESI) |
---|---|---|
March | A more complex solution emerges, with 3 out of 6 configurations including the absence of very high income (∼GNI). This, however, is accompanied by the absence of strong government response (∼GOV) and deaths (∼DEATHS), or the presence of globalization (ECOG/SOCG), healthcare preparedness (GHS) and logistics infrastructure (LPI). | A more complex solution emerges that resembles very closely the baseline one. One difference is that GHS appears in 2 configurations but accompanied by DEATHS. |
April | A more complex solution is generated, which includes variants of the same, baseline, configuration. Substantively speaking, the results are completely consistent with the baseline findings. | A more complex solution emerges, which is consistent with the baseline one. The importance of DEATHS is even more pronounced. But like in March GHS appears in 2 configurations, this time accompanied by ∼ECOG/∼SOCG or ∼LPI. |
May | A slightly more complex, but substantively similar, solution is produced. However, one configuration is not in agreement with the main findings since it has GOV, DEATHS and ∼GHS as components. Upon scrutiny though, this configuration represents only Malta, hence we do not consider this a serious threat to the validity of the baseline results. | Like April, but this time the solution shows that even prepared countries (GHS) can fail to achieve trade resilience if they lack the logistics infrastructure (∼LPI) and are constrained by strong government intervention (GOV). |
June | A less complex but substantively very similar solution is produced | As above (May). |
July | An almost identical solution is produced. | A less complex but substantively very similar solution. Regarding GHS, the same holds as in May and June. |