Table 4.

Summary of sensitivity analysis on the direct and indirect contact transmission probabilities.

Scenario	Direct contact transmission probability	Indirect contact transmission probability	% change in direct contact transmission probability	% change in indirect contact transmission probability	Median infected farms for the entire simulation (5th, 95th percentile)	Median number of infectious farms at the end of 52 weeks (5th, 95th percentile)	% change in infectious farms at the end of 52 weeks as compared to the baseline
Baseline	1	0.1	–	–	1,800 (1,407, 1,842)	735 (550, 845)	–
SA1	0.25	0.1	−75	–	754 (1, 1,125)	310 (177, 401)	−57.8%
SA2	0.5	0.1	−50	–	1,418 (1, 1,597)	481 (334, 575)	−34.6%
SA3	0.75	0.1	−25	–	1,689 (1, 1,759)	619 (458, 723)	−15.8%
SA4	1	0.05	–	−50	1,446 (1, 1,579)	516 (347, 618)	−29.8%
SA5	1	0.2	–	100	1,946 (1,929, 1,967)	1,003 (837, 1,124)	36.5%