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. 2021 Sep 13;42(3):457–467. doi: 10.1007/s00296-021-04965-6

Table 4.

Odds ratio estimates from the final logistic model using the propensity score-matched data and modelling the likelihood of outcome (The control group is the reference group)

A. Logistic regression results
Modelling the likelihood of No. of Events OR (95% CI) P Value AUC
Intubation/death 63 0.40 (0.22, 0.71) 0.0017
Intubation alone* 44 0.32 (0.16, 0.64) 0.0014
Death ALONE 19 0.71 (0.28, 1.82) 0.48
B. Bayesian analysis results
Modelling the likelihood of No. of Events OR (95% HPDI)
Intubation/death 63 0.41 (0.20, 0.67)
Intubation alone* 44 0.33 (0.13, 0.58)
Death alone 19 0.79 (0.20, 1.59)
C. Repeated analysis after the exclusion of six patients who received glucocorticoids
Modelling the likelihood of No. of events OR (95% CI) P Value AUC
Intubation/death 62 0.38 (0.21, 0.69) 0.0014
Intubation alone* 43 0.30 (0.14, 0.61) 0.0010
Death alone 19 0.73 (0.29, 1.87) 0.51

*With Death cases removed from the comparative group

**HPDI Highest posterior density interval