TABLE I.

Sensitivity, Specificity, Positive Predictive Value (PPV), Negative Predictive Value (NPV)^* and Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristics Curve (AUC) for Physician-Diagnosed AR and Various Predictive Models.

	Sensitivity	Specificity	PPV	NPV	AUC (95% CI)
Physician-Diagnosed AR – Model A
Asthma	22.9%	94.8%	89.8%	38.1%	0.59 (0.55–0.63)
No Asthma	12.3%	98.9%	81.8%	74.2%	0.56 (0.52–0.59)
All	20.0%	97.5%	88.3%	56.5%	0.59 (0.56–0.61)
Rhinitis Symptoms Only – Model B
Asthma	100.0%	54.2%	81.4%	100.0%	**
No Asthma	100.0%	86.6%	74.5%	100.0%	**
All	100.0%	75.5%	79.3%	100.0%	**
Rhinitis Symptoms and Dust Mite-IgE – Model C
Asthma	72.6%	75.5%	85.7%	57.7%	0.74 (0.69–0.79)
No Asthma	67.1%	95.1%	83.9%	88.3%	0.81 (0.75–0.87)
All	71.2%	88.5%	85.3%	76.6%	0.80 (0.76–0.83)
Rhinitis Symptoms and (Dust Mite-IgE and/or Cockroach IgE) – Model D
Asthma	75.8%	73.4%	85.2%	60.0%	0.75 (0.69–0.80)
No Asthma	68.6%	94.5%	82.8%	88.7%	0.82 (0.76–0.87)
All	73.9%	87.4%	84.6%	78.1%	0.81 (0.77–0.84)
Rhinitis Symptoms and (Dust Mite-IgE and/or House Dust Trigger) – Model E
Asthma	96.8%	53.2%	80.7%	89.3%	0.75 (0.70–0.80)
No Asthma	88.6%	89.1%	75.6%	95.3%	0.89 (0.84–0.93)
All	94.6%	76.9%	79.4%	93.8%	0.86 (0.83–0.89)
Rhinitis and Total IgE ≥ 100 kU/L – Model F
Asthma	83.3%	70.8%	85.1%	68.0%	0.77 (0.72–0.82)
No Asthma	76.7%	91.4%	77.8%	90.9%	0.84 (0.79–0.89)
All	81.5%	84.4%	83.1%	82.9%	0.83 (0.80–0.86)
Rhinitis and (Total IgE ≥ 100 kU/L and/or House Dust Trigger) – Model G
Asthma	97.9%	55.2%	81.4%	93.0%	0.77 (0.71–0.82)
No Asthma	91.8%	87.6%	74.4%	96.5%	0.90 (0.86–0.94)
All	96.2%	76.6%	79.4%	95.6%	0.86 (0.84–0.89)
Rhinitis and House Dust Trigger – Model H
Asthma	90.1%	57.3%	80.8%	74.3%	0.74 (0.68–0.79)
No Asthma	82.2%	90.3%	76.9%	92.8%	0.86 (0.81–0.91)
All	87.9%	79.1%	79.8%	87.5%	0.84 (0.80–0.87)

^*Gold standard = STR-positive AR.

^**AUC unable to be calculated.