Table 1.

Median values and 95% credibility intervals (CI) of constant parameters and $U$ and $R$ initial values.

	median	95% CI
$\delta$	0.12041	[0.10739, 0.12841]
${\gamma }_I$	$3.78\times {10}^{-5}$	$[3.43\times {10}^{-5},\hspace{0.17em}4.15\times {10}^{-5}]$
${\rho }_U$	0.12320	[0.11303, 0.13593]
${\rho }_I$	0.02408	[0.02197, 0.02658]
${\rho }_H$	0.06677	[0.06171, 0.07212]
${\theta }_T$	0.05026	[0.04517, 0.05456]
$U(t_I)$	12 571	[9346, 15 775]
$R(t_I)$	2 551 280	[2 270 830, 2 832 576]