Table 2.

Median values and 95% credibility intervals (CI) of the parameters that change over the phases and the corresponding${\mathcal{R}}_0$.

	${\beta }_U$		${\omega }_I$
phase	median	95% CI	median	95% CI
1	0.2640	[0.2475, 0.2825]	0.0059	[0.00537, 0.00648]
2	0.3658	[0.3329, 0.3936]	0.00771	[0.00701, 0.00847]
3	0.3449	[0.3223, 0.3685]	0.00933	[0.00849, 0.01018]
4	0.2756	[0.2485, 0.2972]	0.00691	[0.00629, 0.00755]
5	0.2421	[0.2202, 0.2658]	0.00496	[0.00445, 0.00537]
6	0.1779	[0.1615, 0.1952]	0.00422	[0.00383, 0.00464]
7	0.2093	[0.1906, 0.2307]	0.00340	[0.00309, 0.00373]
8	0.1924	[0.1743, 0.2109]	0.00313	[0.00283, 0.00342]
9	0.3052	[0.2780, 0.3354]	0.00309	[0.00281, 0.00339]
10	0.2949	[0.2686, 0.3251]	0.00351	[0.00319, 0.00385]
	${\omega }_H$		${\gamma }_T$
phase	median	95% CI	median	95% CI
1	0.0132	[0.0121, 0.0146]	0.0760	[0.0691, 0.0837]
2	0.0192	[0.0173, 0.0210]	0.1252	[0.1133, 0.1372]
3	0.0223	[0.0202, 0.0243]	0.0886	[0.0793, 0.0958]
4	0.0264	[0.0238, 0.0286]	0.1561	[0.1400, 0.1689]
5	0.0259	[0.0233, 0.0281]	0.1673	[0.1517, 0.1830]
6	0.0269	[0.0243, 0.0293]	0.1909	[0.1741, 0.2103]
7	0.0263	[0.0238, 0.0286]	0.1900	[0.1726, 0.2079]
8	0.0251	[0.0226, 0.0272]	0.1872	[0.1708, 0.2055]
9	0.0244	[0.0223, 0.0269]	0.1924	[0.1729, 0.2086]
10	0.0249	[0.0226, 0.0272]	0.1867	[0.1700, 0.2053]