TABLE A1.
Effective sample sizes of the estimated posterior means of the predicted counts in the various categories of interest for 1, 2, and 3 days ahead obtained with Models 8 and 7 for the Italian and Lombardy data
| Italian data | Lombady data | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model 8 | Model 7 | Model 8 | Model 7 | |||||||||
| Day 1 | Day 2 | Day 3 | Day 1 | Day 2 | Day 3 | Day 1 | Day 2 | Day 3 | Day 1 | Day 2 | Day 3 | |
| S | 12 893 | 5641 | 3677 | 6911 | 2049 | 897 | 15 297 | 6264 | 4747 | 11 042 | 5185 | 2034 |
| R | 11 605 | 4611 | 2865 | 4768 | 2129 | 1603 | 22 411 | 12 527 | 7016 | 12 561 | 2236 | 1844 |
| Q | 12 257 | 4288 | 3672 | 4660 | 2731 | 1046 | 10 335 | 5408 | 3340 | 12 936 | 2568 | 1878 |
| H | 20 548 | 3968 | 2892 | 3928 | 2459 | 1546 | 14 440 | 11 382 | 8385 | 12 907 | 3688 | 1779 |
| ICU | 16 892 | 4067 | 2914 | 14 014 | 3280 | 1767 | 31 998 | 23 413 | 19 022 | 10 947 | 5219 | 3195 |
| D | 16 512 | 6712 | 3447 | 3757 | 2463 | 1538 | 42 671 | 31 295 | 31 413 | 13 507 | 6212 | 2481 |