Table 4.

Negative binomial logistic regression of the number of permanent migrants from a household in a given year (household-year dataset)

Predictors	Short term climate anomaly	Long term climate anomaly
	Environmental Factors
Precipitation	0.94	1.06
Temperature	0.99	1.11+
ln(Soil fertility)(2003)	1.11	1.10
Tree cover (2000)	1.01	1.01
Household Characteristics
Female head of household (2003)	0.97	0.97
Education of head of household (2003)	0.85	0.85
Household size (2003)	1.05*	1.05*
Secure land tenure (2003)	1.015	1.02
ln(Household asset value)(2003)	0.80	0.81
ln(Household livestock value)(2003)	1.13*	1.12*
ln(Distance to market)(2003)	1.02	1.02
ln(Agricultural land area)(2003)	1.06	1.06
Observations	7,854	7,854
Joint test of environmental factors	9.41	7.31
Joint test of household characteristics	22.04 **	21.69 **

^***p<0.001

^**p<0.01

^*p<0.05

⁺p<0.1

Constants, district, year, and year squared fixed effects and average monthly temperature and precipitation included but not shown.