Table 3.
Variable \ Age class | 0–19 | 20–39 | 40–59 | 60–79 | 80+ | Total |
Probability of being infected (pCt) | 0.0213 | 0.041 | 0.031 | 0.016 | 0.027 | 0.028 |
Probability to die due to infection (pCH(j)) | 0.07% | 0.70% | 3.01% | 12.68% | 30.32% | 24.29% |
Probability that the vaccine is harmful (pH) | 10−3 | 10–3 | 10–3 | 10–3 | 10–3 | 10–3 |
Vaccine efficacy (pIN) | 0.84 | 0.84 | 0.84 | 0.84 | 0.84 | 0.84 |
Share of vaccinated people in t2 | 37.8% | 37.8% | 37.8% | 37.8% | 37.8% | 37.8% |
Updating coefficient α for the vaccine to be convenient | Never convenient | Never convenient | 0.04 | 0.31 | Always convenient | 0.18 |
Notes: The share of vaccinated population is computed based on utility function of the rationals (equation SSI) and data as in Table 1.