TABLE 2.
Factor | Incidence in males |
Incidence in females |
Mortality in males |
Mortality in females |
||||
RR (95% CI) | P-value | RR (95% CI) | P-value | RR (95% CI) | P-value | RR (95% CI) | P-value | |
Age | ||||||||
40–44 | 0.08 (0.06–0.11) | <0.001 | 0.07 (0.05–0.10) | <0.001 | 0.03 (0.00–0.27) | 0.002 | 0.03 (0.00–0.24) | 0.001 |
45–49 | 0.28 (0.24–0.34) | <0.001 | 0.26 (0.22–0.31) | <0.001 | 0.19 (0.08–0.47) | <0.001 | 0.18 (0.07–0.42) | <0.001 |
50–54 | 0.53 (0.46–0.61) | <0.001 | 0.48 (0.42–0.55) | <0.001 | 0.44 (0.22–0.87) | 0.019 | 0.42 (0.22–0.81) | 0.01 |
55–59 | 0.95 (0.85–1.06) | 0.398 | 0.85 (0.77–0.95) | 0.003 | 0.97 (0.58–1.64) | 0.915 | 0.96 (0.58–1.58) | 0.857 |
60–64 | 1.53 (1.40–1.67) | <0.001 | 1.45 (1.34–1.58) | <0.001 | 1.89 (1.26–2.84) | 0.002 | 1.93 (1.30–2.85) | 0.001 |
65–69 | 2.20 (2.05–2.37) | <0.001 | 2.45 (2.29–2.61) | <0.001 | 3.27 (2.36–4.54) | <0.001 | 3.42 (2.49–4.68) | <0.001 |
70–74 | 3.72 (3.50–3.95) | <0.001 | 4.48 (4.24–4.73) | <0.001 | 5.65 (4.25–7.52) | <0.001 | 6.07 (4.60–8.00) | <0.001 |
75–79 | 7.15 (6.75–7.59) | <0.001 | 8.26 (7.82–8.72) | <0.001 | 10.94 (8.17–14.65) | <0.001 | 12.13 (9.12–16.13) | <0.001 |
Period | ||||||||
1994 | 0.70 (0.65–0.76) | <0.001 | 0.70 (0.65–0.75) | <0.001 | 0.67 (0.48–0.93) | 0.017 | 0.67 (0.49–0.92) | 0.012 |
1999 | 0.82 (0.77–0.86) | <0.001 | 0.81 (0.77–0.85) | <0.001 | 0.78 (0.62–0.98) | 0.03 | 0.78 (0.63–0.96) | 0.02 |
2004 | 0.93 (0.89–0.98) | 0.006 | 0.93 (0.89–0.97) | <0.001 | 0.97 (0.83–1.14) | 0.714 | 0.95 (0.83–1.10) | 0.498 |
2009 | 1.06 (1.01–1.11) | 0.027 | 1.05 (1.01–1.10) | 0.019 | 1.12 (0.96–1.31) | 0.158 | 1.13 (0.98–1.31) | 0.101 |
2014 | 1.25 (1.18–1.32) | <0.001 | 1.26 (1.20–1.32) | <0.001 | 1.23 (0.99–1.54) | 0.067 | 1.25 (1.01–1.54) | 0.039 |
2019 | 1.41 (1.32–1.51) | <0.001 | 1.44 (1.36–1.53) | <0.001 | 1.43 (1.05–1.93) | 0.021 | 1.43 (1.07–1.92) | 0.015 |
Cohort | ||||||||
1915–1919 | 1.96 (1.75–2.20) | <0.001 | 2.11 (1.90–2.34) | <0.001 | 2.37 (1.37–4.12) | 0.002 | 2.49 (1.46–4.27) | 0.001 |
1920–1924 | 1.77 (1.61–1.94) | <0.001 | 1.84 (1.69–2.01) | <0.001 | 2.08 (1.28–3.37) | 0.003 | 2.15 (1.34–3.47) | 0.002 |
1925–1929 | 1.56 (1.43–1.71) | <0.001 | 1.61 (1.49–1.75) | <0.001 | 1.82 (1.16–2.86) | 0.01 | 1.86 (1.18–2.91) | 0.007 |
1930–1934 | 1.39 (1.27–1.51) | <0.001 | 1.41 (1.31–1.53) | <0.001 | 1.60 (1.01–2.53) | 0.043 | 1.60 (1.02–2.52) | 0.042 |
1935–1939 | 1.24 (1.13–1.36) | <0.001 | 1.25 (1.15–1.36) | <0.001 | 1.39 (0.85–2.25) | 0.186 | 1.39 (0.86–2.25) | 0.183 |
1940–1944 | 1.12 (1.02–1.23) | 0.023 | 1.12 (1.02–1.22) | 0.013 | 1.21 (0.71–2.05) | 0.488 | 1.21 (0.71–2.04) | 0.483 |
1945–1949 | 1.00 (0.89–1.120) | 0.998 | 1.00 (0.90–1.12) | 0.962 | 1.05 (0.57–1.93) | 0.88 | 1.05 (0.58–1.93) | 0.865 |
1950–1954 | 0.89 (0.78–1.03) | 0.115 | 0.88 (0.78–1.01) | 0.061 | 0.89 (0.44–1.82) | 0.754 | 0.90 (0.45–1.82) | 0.776 |
1955–1959 | 0.81 (0.69–0.96) | 0.013 | 0.79 (0.68–0.93) | 0.004 | 0.76 (0.33–1.74) | 0.508 | 0.76 (0.34–1.72) | 0.515 |
1960–1964 | 0.74 (0.61–0.90) | 0.003 | 0.72 (0.60–0.87) | 0.001 | 0.63 (0.23–1.71) | 0.362 | 0.63 (0.24–1.67) | 0.35 |
1965–1969 | 0.66 (0.51–0.84) | 0.001 | 0.64 (0.51–0.81) | <0.001 | 0.53 (0.15–1.91) | 0.332 | 0.52 (0.15–1.81) | 0.302 |
1970–1974 | 0.57 (0.40–0.80) | 0.001 | 0.54 (0.39–0.75) | <0.001 | 0.45 (0.07–2.97) | 0.407 | 0.43 (0.07–2.77) | 0.376 |
1975–1979 | 0.48 (0.19–1.19) | 0.111 | 0.46 (0.19–1.09) | 0.077 | 0.39 (0.00–141.49) | 0.756 | 0.37 (0.00–135.78) | 0.739 |
Deviance | 0.61 | 0.54 | 0.03 | 0.07 | ||||
AIC | 7.3 | 7.5 | 4.78 | 4.93 | ||||
BIC | −92.29 | −92.37 | −92.88 | −92.84 |
RR denotes the relative risk of the incidence and mortality in a particular age, period, or birth cohort relative to the average level of all ages, periods, or birth cohorts combined. RR, relative risk; CI, confidence interval; AIC, Akaike Information Criterion; BIC, Bayesian Information Criterion.