Table 6.
Logistic regression analyses predicting the probability of Gleason score ≥ 7 disease
| Predictors | AUC of individual predictor variable (95% CI);) P value* |
Bivariate analysis OR(95%CI); P value |
Multivariate analysis | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base model ** OR(95% CI); P value |
Base model + %p2PSA OR (95% CI); P value |
Base model + PHI OR(95%CI); P value |
|||
| Age |
0.55 (0.42–0.67) 0.508 |
1.028 (0.95–1.12); 0.513 |
1.005 (0.92–1.09); 0.913 |
1.050 (0.95–1.16); 0.357 |
1.028 (0.93–1.13); 0.577 |
| tPSA, ng/mL |
0.62 (0.48–0.77) – |
1.064 (0.99–1.14); 0.086 |
1.031 (0.92–1.16); 0.602 |
1.016 (0.940–1.098); 0.688 |
0.974 (0.90–1.05); 0.498 |
| fPSA |
0.58 (0.44–0.72) 0.358 |
1.818 (0.84–3.94); 0.129 |
1.399 (0.39–5.04); 0.608 |
0.943 (0.36–2.46); 0.904 |
0.727 (0.28–1.88); 0.511 |
| %fPSA |
0.41 (0.26–0.57) 0.302 |
0.973 (0.91–1.04); 0.440 |
0.977 (0.88–1.09); 0.675 |
0.978 (0.86–1.11); 0.731 |
1.010 (0.90–1.13); 0.869 |
| p2PSA, pg/mL |
0.79 (0.68–0.91)0.004 |
1.047 (1.01–1.09); 0.017 |
– | – | – |
| %p2PSA |
0.86 (0.75–0.93)0.001 |
1.020 (1.01–1.04); 0.007 |
– |
1.029 (1.01–1.05);0.015 |
– |
| PHI |
0.87 (0.76–0.94) < 0.001 |
3.887 (1.73–8.74); 0.001 |
– | – |
3.833 (1.56–9.40);0.003 |
| AUC of multivariate models (95% CI) | – | – |
0.629 (0.50–0.75) 0.086 |
0.861 (0.75–0.94) < 0.001 |
0.886 (0.78–0.95) < 0.001 |
|
Gain in predictive accuracy (95% CI); P value |
– | – | – |
0.232 (0.08–0.38); 0.002 |
0.257 (0.11–0.40); 0.001 |
AUC, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; PSA, prostate-specific antigen; fPSA, free PSA; p2PSA, [-2]proPSA; PHI, prostate health index; tPSA, total PSA; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval
*P value: Comparison of AUC using tPSA as standard
**Base model includes age, tPSA, fPSA and %fPSA
P value to be statiscally significant with bolditalics