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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2022 Oct 1.
Published in final edited form as: Crit Care Med. 2021 Oct 1;49(10):1651–1663. doi: 10.1097/CCM.0000000000005085

Table 3. Comparison of result reporting schemes.

We evaluated three different reporting schemes. The single threshold scheme uses a single numerical threshold to determine whether a subject has a bacterial infection in the bacterial vs. non-bacterial model or a viral infection in the viral vs. non-viral model. This single threshold allows for all subjects to be classified. The Quartile scheme uses multiple thresholds to assign subjects into probability bands. The reported PPA and NPA values focus on the top and bottom quartiles, therefore representing 50% of the cohort. The equivocal zone model allows for a probability band in which no call can be made. The equivocal zone thresholds for bacterial vs. non-bacterial and viral vs. non-viral classification were selected to exclude no more than 15% of the cohort.

Single Threshold Quartiles Equivocal Zone
PPA NPA % cohort PPA NPA % cohort PPA NPA % cohort
Training Cohort-Bacterial vs. Non-Bacterial Model 85.3 81.4 100 100 92.4 50 85.4 86.2 85
Validation Cohort-Bacterial vs. Non-Bacterial Model 79.1 81.0 100 94.0 90.1 50 83.2 83.1 88
Training Cohort-Viral vs. Non-Viral Model 85.9 86.0 100 96.7 98.3 50 84.5 92.3 85
Validation Cohort-Viral vs. Non-Viral Model 89.0 84.7 100 96.7 94.9 50 81.5 91.8 85