Table 2.
Reduced-form RD effects on high school persistence, by year
| Dependent variable | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) |
| Full sample | Bandwidth |Grade 8 GPAi| ≤ 0.67 | |||||
| Estimate | n | Mean | Estimate | n | Mean | |
| Enrolled in district, year 2 | −0.00987 | 1,405 | 0.974 | 0.0261 | 424 | 0.960 |
| (0.0419) | (0.050) | |||||
| Attendance, year 2 | 5.741* | 1,369 | 94.7 | 9.672*** | 407 | 90.0 |
| (3.065) | (2.432) | |||||
| Credits earned, year 2 | 8.014* | 1,369 | 114.8 | 16.62*** | 407 | 101.8 |
| (4.794) | (5.739) | |||||
| Enrolled in district, year 3 | 0.00203 | 1,405 | 0.949 | 0.0511 | 424 | 0.910 |
| (0.0516) | (0.060) | |||||
| Attendance, year 3 | 6.323** | 1,333 | 93.1 | 9.677*** | 386 | 87.3 |
| (2.989) | (3.540) | |||||
| Credits earned, year 3 | 10.56 | 1,333 | 174.2 | 24.66*** | 386 | 156.1 |
| (6.570) | (7.913) | |||||
| Enrolled in district, year 4 | 0.0374 | 1,405 | 0.928 | 0.0822 | 424 | 0.868 |
| (0.0606) | (0.068) | |||||
| Attendance, year 4 | 7.158*** | 1,304 | 91.3 | 11.56*** | 368 | 84.7 |
| (1.799) | (3.728) | |||||
| Credits earned, year 4 | 15.29** | 1,304 | 231.7 | 31.46*** | 368 | 212.7 |
| (7.724) | (9.067) | |||||
Each cell contains the result of a separate regression of the effect of I(Grade 8 GPAi< 2.0) on high school persistence measures (i.e., district enrollment, attendance, and credits earned) from administrative data. All models include linear splines and a full set of demographic controls (i.e., student sex and race/ethnicity indicators) and grade 8 (i.e., prior to treatment status) special education identification, English learner status, attendance, and suspension history. Grade 8 GPA is centered at 2.0. Robust SEs are reported in parentheses. *P < 0.10, **P < 0.05, and ***P < 0.01.