Figure 1.

Conceptual model describing the data analysis strategy. Historical data on land use was associated with the capture date of the specimens of rodents (Rodentia) preserved in museums and reported in the Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF). We used these data to train a model CART that predicts species presence probability within the species' distribution area, considering land use. The cumulative probabilities of species’ presence times the equilibrium prevalence of each species give an index of zoonotic hazard at each location. Zoonotic hazard was then projected to different land-use scenarios following the shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) narratives.