Fig. 3.

Absolute differences in observed vs expected age- and sex-specific monthly death counts in 2020 stratified by level of care, March to July 2020, Sweden. Gray bars show the 95% prediction interval.

Notes: Differences have been calculated by subtracting death counts in 2020 by the corresponding expected death counts. Expected death counts have been estimated from a Poisson regression, with a time and a seasonal component, fitted for the months April to June and September to October between 2015 and 2019. The 95% prediction interval is based on the 5000 predictions from the model using bootstrapped samples of the corresponding age-specific death counts. The bars depict the difference with the median prediction and the dots refers to difference using the boundaries of 95% prediction interval.