Table 3.

Parameter estimates.

Parameter	Value	Source	Parameter	Value	Source
Model Parameters
${\eta }_A$	0.5	[18], [47]	${\eta }_H$	0.5	[18], [47]
${ϵ}_i$	0.5	[17], [18]	${ϵ}_o$	0.5	[17], [18]
${\beta }_f$	4.8	[48]	${\mu }_f$	0.54	[49], [50]
$f$	0.25	[17], [18], [51]	$\nu$	0.083	[18]
$\sigma$	1/5.1	[17], [18], [52], [53]	$\varphi$	1/5	[18]
${\gamma }_I$	1/10	[18], [54], [55]	${\gamma }_A$	0.13978	[18], [54], [55]
${\gamma }_H$	1/8	[18], [55]	${\gamma }_{ICU}$	1/10	[55]
${\delta }_I$	0.015	[18]	${\delta }_A$	0.0075	[18]
${\delta }_H$	0.015	[18]	${\delta }_{ICU}$	0.0225	[18]
${\beta }_1$	0.225	fitted	${\beta }_2$	0.659	fitted
${\beta }_3$	0.097	fitted	${\beta }_4$	0.5671	fitted
${\beta }_5$	0.10658	fitted	${\lambda }_1$	0.179	fitted
${\lambda }_2$	13.53	fitted	${\lambda }_3$	0.0388	fitted
${\tau }_1$	27.5	fitted	${\tau }_2$	97.98	fitted
${\tau }_3$	127.6	fitted	${\tau }_4$	222.1	fitted
${\theta }_1$	0.1098	fitted	${\theta }_2$	0.847	fitted
Initial Conditions
$N$	$328.2\times {10}^6$	[56]	$S_M(t=0)$	3,276,578	fitted
$E_U(t=0)$	0	assumed	$E_M(t=0)$	0	assumed
$I_U(t=0)$	169	fitted	$I_M(t=0)$	0	assumed
$A_U(t=0)$	440	fitted	$A_M(t=0)$	877	fitted
$I_H(t=0)$	0	[57]	$I_{ICU}(t=0)$	0	[57]
$R(t=0)$	2014	fitted	$D(t=0)$	1	[45]