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. 2021 Jul 24;74:102265. doi: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2021.102265

Table 4.

VAR-ADCC-GARCH analysis of climate bond and WTI markets.

Variables Climate bond WTI
rt1b 0.0135 (.02)** - 0.2281 (.72)
rt1o 0.0022 (.11) - 0.0990 (.00)***
εb,t12 0.1031 (.00)*** 44.8426 (.00)***
εo,t12 0.00001 (.16) 0.0908 (.00)***
ht1b 0.8145 (.00)*** −12.5619 (.00)***
ht1o −0.00001 (.02)** 0.8808 (.00)***
θ1 0.2703 (.00)***
θ2 0.0034 (.04)***
θ3 0.0044 (.00)***
Log Likelihood −1403.28
ARCH-LM 0.76 (.67)

Notes: This table reports the outcomes for the VAR-ADCC-GARCH model for the bond-oil combination. rt1o refers to the return on WTI oil index at time t-1 and rt1b denotes the same for the climate bond index. In addition, ht1b measures the conditional variance of the bond price returns at time t-1 and ht1s indicates the conditional variance of oil market returns at time t-1. The squared error terms εo,t12 and εb,t12 measure the effects of unexpected news or shocks in oil and bond markets, respectively. ARCH-LM statistics are used to test the null hypothesis that the return series exhibit heteroscedasticity at lag 10. ***, ** and * indicate statistical significance at 1 %, 5 % and 10 % levels, respectively. Values in parentheses indicate p-values.