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. 2021 Sep 10;2(3):e24630. doi: 10.2196/24630

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©Giuseppe Giacopelli. Originally published in JMIRx Med (https://med.jmirx.org), 10.09.2021.

This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work, first published in JMIRx Med, is properly cited. The complete bibliographic information, a link to the original publication on https://med.jmirx.org/, as well as this copyright and license information must be included.

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COVID-19 outbreak simulation. Top-left: population density. Top-right: log₁₀ of the infected percentage per cell. Bottom, from left to right: infected number, recovered number, deceased number, and recovered ratio (recovered/deaths). The solid line is the model simulation, the dotted line is extracted data from the Ministry of Health/Civil Protection Department [33] for Lombardy, and the vertical dotted blue line marks the date March 9, 2020 [32].