Table 2:
The Effect of Social Connectedness on Crime, 1970–2009
| Dependent variable: Number of offenses reported to police | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murder (1) |
Rape (2) |
Robbery (3) |
Assault (4) |
Burglary (5) |
Larceny (6) |
Motor Vehicle Theft (7) |
|
| Log HHI, Southern black migrants | −0.245 (0.064) | −0.105 (0.048) | −0.234 (0.045) | −0.221 (0.047) | −0.149 (0.032) | −0.069 (0.043) | −0.227 (0.083) |
| Log population and log land area | x | x | x | x | x | x | x |
| Log number, Southern black migrants | x | x | x | x | x | x | x |
| 1920–1960 covariates | x | x | x | x | x | x | x |
| State-year fixed effects | x | x | x | x | x | x | x |
| Pseudo R2 | 0.823 | 0.871 | 0.947 | 0.914 | 0.952 | 0.945 | 0.935 |
| N (city-years) | 8,345 | 8,345 | 8,345 | 8,345 | 8,345 | 8,345 | 8,345 |
| Cities | 224 | 224 | 224 | 224 | 224 | 224 | 224 |
Notes: Table displays estimates of equation (1). 1920–1960 covariates are log population, percent black, and log manufacturing employment. Standard errors, clustered at the city level, are in parentheses. Sources: Duke SSA/Medicare data, Haines and ICPSR (2010), United States Bureau of the Census (2008), United States Department of Justice, Federal Bureau of Investigation (2005)