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. 2021 Sep 24;16(9):e0257056. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0257056

Table 2. Analysis of model performance over 6-hour and 12-hour prediction horizon.

COVID-19 Positives (6 hours)
Dataset CRW Emory MLH
AUC 0.90 [0.889, 0.90] 0.85 [0.85, 0.86] 0.88 [0.86, 0.90]
Specificity 0.86 [0.86, 0.86] 0.81 [0.80,0.82] 0.82 [0.80, 0.84]
Sensitivity 0.77 [0.76,0.78] 0.74 [0.73, 0.76] 0.77 [0.74, 0.78]
PPV 0.54 [0.53, 0.54] 0.55 [0.54, 0.59] 0.56 [0.53, 0.59]
COVID-19 Positives (12 Hours)
Dataset CRW Emory MLH
AUC 0.89 [0.88, 0.90] 0.82 [0.81, 0.83] 0.89 [0.87, 0.90]
Specificity 0.85 [0.85 0.86] 0.80 [0.79, 0.82] 0.81 [0.79, 0.84]
Sensitivity 0.77 [0.75, 0.78] 0.70 [0.69, 0.71] 0.77 [0.74, 0.80]
PPV 0.53 [0.52, 0.54] 0.54 [0.52, 0.55] 0.55 [0.52, 0.59]
All-cause ARDS (12 Hours)
Dataset CRW Emory MLH
AUC 0.86 [0.85, 0.86] 0.80 [0.79, 0.81] 0.86 [0.84, 0.87]
Specificity 0.79 [0.79, 0.80] 0.77 [0.76, 0.78] 0.79 [0.76, 0.81]
Sensitivity 0.77 [0.76, 0.77] 0.70 [0.69, 0.71] 0.75 [0.72, 0.78]
PPV 0.45 [0.44, 0.45] 0.49 [0.48, 0.51] 0.51 [0.48, 0.55]