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. 2021 Sep 24;4(9):e2126882. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.26882

Table. Current COVID-19 Vaccination Status and Likelihood of Future Vaccination by Baseline COVID-19 Vaccine Hesitancy Among Participants in a Population-Based Longitudinal US Cohort, 2020-2021a.

Variable Participants, % (95% CI) (N = 3439)b
Baseline hesitant to be vaccinated (n = 1061) Baseline likely to be vaccinated (n = 2378)
Vaccinated at follow-up (n = 389) Follow-up likely to be vaccinated (n = 384) Follow-up unlikely to be vaccinated (n = 288)c Vaccinated at follow-up (n = 1395) Likely to be vaccinated at follow-up (n = 859) Unlikely to be vaccinated at follow-up (n = 124)c
Overall 32 (27-37) 37 (32-42) 32 (27-37) 54 (50-57) 39 (36-43) 7 (5-9)
Sex
Male 27 (20-35) 44 (36-53) 29 (21-38) 49 (44-54) 45 (40-50) 6 (3-9)
Female 35 (30-41) 31 (26-37) 33 (28-40) 58 (53-63) 34 (29-38) 8 (6-11)
Race/ethnicity
Hispanic 18 (11-28) 50 (37-62) 33 (21-47) 36 (28-45) 54 (45-63) 10 (5-18)
Non-Hispanic Asian 65 (44-81) 22 (10-44) 13 (5-29) 42 (30-54) 53 (40-65) 6 (2-18)
Non-Hispanic Black 34 (23-48) 39 (26-53) 27 (16-41) 56 (43-69) 43 (31-56) 1 (0-4)
Non-Hispanic otherd 43 (20-70) 24 (9-50) 33 (12-64) 78 (61-89) 15 (7-30) 7 (2-23)
Non-Hispanic White 32 (27-38) 34 (29-41) 33 (28-40) 59 (55-63) 34 (30-38) 7 (5-10)
Age, y
18-34 12 (7-20) 47 (37-58) 41 (31-51) 34 (27-41) 57 (50-64) 9 (6-15)
35-44 25 (17-36) 41 (30-52) 34 (24-46) 39 (32-47) 51 (43-59) 10 (5-17)
45-54 18 (11-28) 41 (31-53) 41 (30-52) 44 (35-52) 47 (39-56) 9 (5-17)
55-64 48 (37-60) 29 (21-40) 23 (15-33) 53 (45-61) 43 (36-51) 4 (2-8)
≥65 73 (60-83) 15 (8-27) 12 (6-23) 91 (86-94) 6 (4-10) 3 (1-6)
Education
High school, general equivalency diploma, or less 24 (16-33) 39 (29-49) 38 (28-48) 52 (45-60) 37 (30-45) 11 (7-16)
Some college or associate’s degree 31 (24-38) 35 (29-43) 34 (27-42) 49 (43-56) 42 (36-48) 9 (6-13)
Bachelor’s degree 41 (33-50) 37 (29-45) 22 (16-30) 51 (46-57) 46 (40-52) 3 (1-7)
Graduate degree 50 (38-62) 32 (21-45) 18 (11-28) 68 (63-73) 30 (25-35) 2 (1-4)
Annual household income, $
0-24 999 22 (14-32) 47 (36-59) 31 (21-44) 36 (27-47) 54 (43-64) 10 (5-19)
25 000-49 999 28 (19-39) 36 (26-48) 36 (26-48) 52 (44-61) 34 (26-43) 13 (8-22)
50 000-99 999 31 (23-39) 37 (29-47) 32 (24-42) 57 (50-64) 38 (32-45) 5 (3-8)
100 000-199 999 37 (28-47) 34 (26-44) 29 (20-39) 55 (48-61) 39 (33-45) 6 (4-11)
≥200 000 49 (33-65) 23 (12-38) 29 (15-48) 57 (49-66) 38 (30-47) 4 (1-12)
Urbanicity
Metropolitan 31 (26-36) 31 (26-37) 38 (33-44) 52 (49-56) 40 (37-44) 7 (5-10)
Micropolitan or rural 38 (26-52) 33 (22-46) 29 (18-43) 65 (54-74) 32 (22-43) 4 (2-8)
Household size
1-2 persons 40 (34-46) 33 (27-39) 28 (22-34) 63 (58-67) 32 (28-36) 5 (3-7)
≥3 persons 22 (16-29) 42 (34-50) 37 (29-45) 41 (36-47) 49 (44-55) 9 (6-14)
a

Baseline data were collected from August 9 to December 8, 2020, and follow-up data were collected from March 2 to April 21, 2021.

b

Percentages and 95% CIs are weighted to the US population.

c

Unlikely to be vaccinated refers to persons rating themselves as either unlikely or unsure whether they would be vaccinated.

d

Non-Hispanic other refers to non-Hispanic persons identifying as American Indian or Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian or other Pacific Islander, any other race, or prefer not to answer.