Table 2.
Age-specific relative risks associated with age-independent and age-dependent absolute risk thresholds for the high-risk category compared to the population average absolute risk, using remaining lifetime risk and 10-year absolute risk for breast cancer in women in Canada (2012–2016).
Remaining Lifetime Risk Metric | |||||
Age-independent risk threshold | Age-dependent risk threshold | ||||
Current age | Population average remaining lifetime risk % | Remaining lifetime risk threshold for high risk (%) | Relative risk (high risk vs. population average risk) | Remaining lifetime risk threshold for high risk (%) | Relative risk (high risk vs. population average risk) |
30 | 10.1 | 25.0 | 2.7 | 25.0 | 2.7 |
35 | 10.0 | 25.0 | 2.7 | 24.8 | 2.7 |
40 | 9.8 | 25.0 | 2.8 | 24.3 | 2.7 |
45 | 9.3 | 25.0 | 2.9 | 23.2 | 2.7 |
50 | 8.6 | 25.0 | 3.2 | 21.6 | 2.7 |
55 | 7.7 | 25.0 | 3.6 | 19.5 | 2.7 |
60 | 6.7 | 25.0 | 4.1 | 17.1 | 2.7 |
65 | 5.4 | 25.0 | 5.2 | 13.9 | 2.7 |
10-year Absolute Risk Metric | |||||
Age-independent risk threshold | Age-dependent risk threshold | ||||
Current age | Population average 10-year absolute risk % | 10-year absolute risk threshold for high risk (%) | Relative risk (high risk vs. population average risk) | 10-year absolute risk threshold for high risk (%) | Relative risk (high risk vs. population average risk) |
30 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 2.7 |
35 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 2.7 |
40 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 3.6 | 2.7 |
45 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 4.8 | 2.7 |
50 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 5.8 | 2.7 |
55 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 7.0 | 2.7 |
60 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 8.6 | 2.7 |
65 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 9.9 | 2.7 |
Relative risks calculated using Equation (1). High risk is defined as remaining lifetime risk (from age 30 to 80 years) of 25%.