Table 2.

The model outputs are presented together with the reported data. The predicted number of cumulative death produced by the model over time for three different epidemic mitigation scenarios for three initiation dates together with the corresponding 90% prediction intervals.

Scenario	June 1,2020	July 1,2020	August 1,2020
Real Data	718	1,173	1,709
April 12, 2020	568 (464;667)	967 (738;1,203)	1,461 (1,050;1,904)
April 19, 2020	653 (541;783)	1,143 (889;1,412)	1,762 (1,308; 2,241)
April 26, 2020	752 (612;906)	1,364 (1,049;1,705)	2,141 (1,604;2,719)