Table 1.
Scenarios simulated | |||
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Treatment effect | Rate ratio: eβ1 = 1.0, 0.9, 0.8, 0.7, 0.6, | ||
Number of clusters | 6, 10, 14, 18 | ||
Effect of year | α: Year 1 = e0.0843–0.1054 year 2 = e 0.0843 – 0.1054 | ||
One rainy season | Separate analyses of the first- and second-year results | ||
Two rainy seasons (parallel) | Analysis of combined Year 1 and Year 2 data | ||
Two rainy seasons (crossover) | Analysis of data from a crossover design | ||
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Metrics evaluated | |||
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Bias | Difference between the estimated and true value for β1 | ||
Coverage | Proportion of 95% confidence interval that includes β1 | ||
Power | Probability of rejecting the null hypothesis: eβ1 = 1.0 | ||
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Summary of models compared | |||
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Category | Name | Method of model fitting | |
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MM | Mixed models | PL: Pseudo-likelihood | |
PLKR: Pseudo-likelihood, Kenward-Roger correction | |||
ML: Laplace: Laplace approximation to the likelihood | |||
ML: AGQ-10: Adaptive Gaussian quadrature | |||
GEEs | Generalized estimating equations | ||
Using model-based standard error | |||
Using empirical standard error | |||
Using MBN correction, proposed by Morel, Bokossa, and Neerchal | |||
Using FG correction, proposed by Fay and Graubard | |||
Cluster-level analyses | |||
Unweighted t-test | |||
Size weighted | |||
Variance weighted | |||
Adjusted residual |
The number of episodes was simulated to follow a Poisson distribution with mean rate λijk denoting the rate with treatment i = (0,1) in village j = 1 ,…, 7 and subject k = 1 ,…, Nij; X1 = 0 satisfying log(λijk) = α + β1Xi + β2Xijk + uij, where Xi = 0 (control) or Xi = 1 (Ivermectin), and Xijk = 0 (female) or Xijk = 1 (male) and α = intercept; β1 = log of the rate ratio treatment versus control; β2 = log of the rate ratio male versus females; and uij = random village effect: uij ∼ N(0, 0.05 or 0.10).