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. 2021 Sep 29;19:225. doi: 10.1186/s12916-021-02099-x

Table 2.

Health-related model estimates over a 20-year simulation period, from 2013 to 2032, for Brazilian adults aged over 30 years. Brackets contain 95% uncertainty intervals

Outcome Men Women Persons As percentage of total cases/deaths
CHD cases prevented or postponed 67,000 (17,000 to 160,000) 31,000 (6000 to 78,000) 98,000 (23,000 to 240,000) 0.072% (0.030 to 0.15%)
Stroke cases prevented or postponed 45,000 (11,000 to 100,000) 39,000 (10,0 00 to 89,000) 84,000 (22,000 to 190,000) 0.14% (0.068 to 0.23%)
CHD deaths prevented or postponed 700 (−200 to 900) 500 (−200 to 2000) 1200 (−500 to 5000) 0.064% (0.000 to 0.15%)
Stroke deaths prevented or postponed 700 (−200 to 3000) 700 (−200 to 2800) 1400 (−500 to 6000) 0.12% (0.039 to 0.23%)
Non-CVD deaths prevented or postponed 6900 (2300 to 13,000) 4600 (1400 to 9200) 12,000 (3700 to 22,000) 0.069% (0.041 to 0.11%)
All deaths prevented or postponed 8300 (1800 to 19,000) 5800 (900 to 14,000) 14,000 (2700 to 33,000) 0.073% (0.045 to 0.11%)