Table 2.

Performance of the Berlin and PALICC definition on predicting mortality

	Berlin			PALICC
	Mild	Moderate	Severe	Mild	Moderate	Severe
Onset
Number of patients	8	15	12	61	45	29
PICU mortality	37.5	26.7	16.7	14.8	8.9	20.7
AUC-ROC	0.391 (0.176–0.606)			0.522 (0.371–0.673)
p-value	0.336			0.757
At 24 h
Number of patients	5	20	1	45	34	26
PICU mortality	40.0	20.0	0	13.3	5.9	19.2
AUC-ROC	0.392 (0.124–0.659)			0.531 (0.345–0.716)
p-value	0.429			0.723
At 48 h
Number of patients	13	9	4	36	34	20
PICU mortality	38.5	11.1	0	8.3	11.8	10.0
AUC-ROC	0.267 (0.060–0.473)			0.529 (0.336–0.722)
p-value	0.088			0.778

At onset the Berlin stratification had an AUC-ROC of 0.391 (0.176–0.606), 24 h after onset it was 0.392 (0.124–0.659) and 48 h after onset it was 0.267 (0.060–0.473). On the right the PALICC definition is represented and shows an AUC-ROC of 0.522 (0.371–0.673) for mortality at onset, 0.531 (0.345–0.716) 24 h after onset and 0.529 (0.336–0.722) 48 h after onset