Table 4.
Study | Patients (n) | Model/algorithm | Cohort survival |
Prediction | Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve | Feature importance |
Pan et al [20] | 123 | XGBoost | 52.8% | Mortality | 0.86-0.92 | Lymphocyte percentage, prothrombin time, lactate dehydrogenase, total bilirubin, eosinophil percentage, creatinine, neutrophil percentage, and albumin level |
Gong et al [9] | 372 | Nomogram | 99.7% | Severity | 0.85 (95% CI 0.790-0.916) | Higher lactate dehydrogenase, C-reactive protein, red blood cell distribution width, direct bilirubin, blood urea nitrogen, and lower albumin |
Ko et al [21] | 375 | XGBoost | 98.1% | Mortality | —,a accuracy of 92% | Not assessed |
Abdulaal et al [22] | 398 | Artificial neural network |
— | Mortality | —, accuracy of 86% (95% CI 75%-93%) | Altered mentation, dyspnea, age, collapse, gender, and cough |
Shi et al [10] | 487 | Custom risk score calculation |
100% | Severity | — | Advanced age, presence of hypertension, and being male |
Gao et al [8] | 2160 | Ensemble model based on logistic regression, gradient-boosted decision tree, neural network, and support vector machine |
88% | Mortality | 0.92-0.98 | Consciousness, chronic kidney disease, lymphocyte counts, sex, sputum, blood urea nitrogen, respiratory rate, oxygen saturation, D-dimer, number of comorbidities, albumin, age, fever, and platelet count |
Vaid et al [11] | 4098 | XGBoost | 83% | Mortality | 0.84-0.88 | Age, anion gap, C-reactive protein, lactate dehydrogenase, oxygen saturation, blood urea nitrogen, ferritin, red cell distribution width, and diastolic blood pressure. |
Kim et al [23] | 4787 | XGBoost | — | Need for intensive care |
0.88-0.89 | Activities of daily living, age, dyspnea, body temperature, sex, and underlying comorbidities |
Bolourani et al [24] | 11,525 | XGBoost | — | Predicting respiratory failure |
0.77 | Invasive mode of oxygen delivery being a nonrebreather mask, emergency severity index values of 1 and 3, maximum respiratory rate, maximum, oxygen saturation, Black race, age on admission, eosinophil percentage, serum sodium level, and serum lactate level. |
This study | 11,807 | GRU-D | 95.4% | Mortality | 0.938 cross-validation; 0.901 prospectively | Figure 2, top 5: age, Charlson comorbidity index, minimum oxygen saturation, fibrinogen level, and serum iron level |
aNot available.