Table 2.
Evidence table of the included studies.
Author (Country) | Intervention |
Epidemiologic model |
Health economic evaluation |
||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Population | Strategies | COVID-19 model | Primary outcome measure | Type of evaluation | Time horizon | Perspective | Author conclusion | CHEC | |
1. Protection | |||||||||
Savitsky and Albright30 (United States) | HCWs on labor and delivery |
|
Decision tree to model transmission of SARS-CoV-2 to HCWs | ICER: cost/prevent one COVID-19 infection in an HCW (WTP = $25 000: estimate of immediate cost of a COVID-19 infection of a HCW) | Cost-effectiveness | NA | Not reported (only cost of testing + costs of PPE are included, limited/restricted healthcare perspective) | At relatively low prevalence of disease (<10%), universal screening is the preferred strategy for women presenting in spontaneous labor and for labor induction. Interestingly for a planned CD universal PPE was more often cost-effective, and therefore, the preferred strategy as long as the cost of PPE remained stable. At high disease prevalence, universal PPE is the best strategy to protect HCW. | 13 |
Risko et al22 (139) (LMIC) | HCWs |
|
SIR (ESFT)—(S) susceptible, (I) infected, and (R) recovered | ICER: cost/HCW death averted; ICER = cost/HCW case averted (no WTP reported) | Cost-effectiveness; ROI analysis | 30-week period | Societal perspective | Immediate investment in the wide-scale production and distribution of PPE for LMICs yields a significant benefit in lives saved and ROI. The authors also conclude that this public health strategy is required to prevent massive depletion of the healthcare workforce. | 11 |
Ebigbo et al32 (Germany) | Patients presenting for endoscopy |
|
Decision tree to model transmission of SARS-CoV-2 from asymptomatic patients to HCWs in high-volume centers | ICER: cost/positive test (no WTP reported) | Cost-effectiveness | Not reported | Not reported (on the basis of included costs it can be considered a limited societal perspective) | ICER values for universal testing decreased with increasing prevalence rates. For higher prevalence rates (≥1%), ICER values were the lowest for routine pre-endoscopy testing coupled with the use of high-risk PPE, whereas cost per endoscopy was the lowest for routine use of high risk PPE without universal testing. In general, routine pre-endoscopy testing combined with high-risk PPE becomes more cost-effective with rising prevalence rates of COVID-19. | 6 |
2. Detection | |||||||||
Neilan et al18 (United States) | People with COVID-19 symptoms |
|
Extended SEIRD (CEACOV)-(S) susceptible, (E) exposed (latent, noninfectious), (Ip/Ia) pre- and asymptomatic, (Im) mildly infected, (Is) severely infected, (Ic) critically infected, (Ir) recuperation after critical infection, (R) recovered, and (D) deceased | ICER: cost/QALY (WTP: $100 000/QALY) | Cost-effectiveness | 180-day horizon | Healthcare system perspective | Testing people with any COVID-19-consistent symptoms would be cost saving compared with testing only those whose symptoms warrant hospital care. Expanding PCR testing to asymptomatic people would decrease infections, deaths, and hospitalizations. Despite modest sensitivity, at low-cost, repeated screening of the entire population could be cost-effective in all epidemic settings. | 18 |
Jiang et al16 (China) | People suspected of having COVID-19 |
|
Extended SEIRD (SALIRD)-(S) susceptible, (A) asymptomatic, (L) presymptomatic, (I) infectious, (R) recovered, and (D) deceased | ICER: cost/QALY (WTP = CN¥64 644); NMB | Cost-effectiveness | January 2020 to March 2020 (43 days) | Healthcare system perspective | The three-test strategy is a dominant strategy in all scenarios. | 18 |
Paltiel et al12 (United States) | Students (<30 years old and nonimmune, living in a congregate setting) |
|
Extended SEIRD—(S) susceptible, (E) exposed (latent, noninfectious), (Ia) asymptomatic infectious, (Is) symptomatic infectious, (R) recovered, (D) deceased | ICER: screening costs/infection averted (WTP = $100 000 per year-of-life gained; a maximum WTP to avert 1 infection ranging from $7500 (Re = 1.5) to $10 500 (Re = 2.5) to $13 500 (Re = 3.5) + budget impact) | Cost-effectiveness/budget impact | 80 days | Not reported (only costs of screening were considered. On the basis of the included costs it can be considered a restricted approach/perspective) | There is a safe way for students to return to college in the Fall of 2020. The question is whether it is feasible today on a large scale. Coupled with strict behavioral interventions that keep Re below 2.5, a rapid, inexpensive and even poorly sensitive (>70%) test, conducted at least every 2 days, would produce a modest number of containable infections and would be cost-effective. | 13 |
Paltiel et al19 (United States) | General population |
|
Extended SEIRD—(S) susceptible, (E) exposed (latent, noninfectious), (Ip/Ia) pre- and asymptomatic, (Im) mildly symptomatic, (Is) severely symptomatic, (Ic) critically symptomatic, (R) recovered, and (D) deceased | ICER: costs/infections averted and costs/deaths averted (Value of statistical life saved = $5.3 million) | Cost-effectiveness | 60 days | Societal perspective | High-frequency home testing for SARS-CoV-2 with an inexpensive, imperfect test could contribute to pandemic control at a justifiable cost and warrants consideration as part of a national containment strategy. | 15 |
Du et al20 (United States) | General population-households |
|
Extended SEIRD—(S) susceptible, (E) exposed (latent, noninfectious), (Ip/Ia) pre- and asymptomatic, (Im) mildly symptomatic, (Ih) hospitalized, (R) recovered, (D) deceased | Net benefit (WTP = $100 000 per YLL averted) | Cost-benefit | Not reported | Not reported (on the basis of included costs it can be considered a limited societal perspective) | Assuming a WTP of $100 000 per YLL averted and a price of $5 per test, the strategy most likely to be cost-effective under a rapid transmission scenario (Re = 2.2) is weekly testing followed by a 2-week isolation period subsequent to a positive test result. Under low transmission scenarios (Re = 1.2), monthly testing of the population followed by 1-week isolation rather than 2-week isolation is likely to be most cost-effective. Expanded surveillance testing is more likely to be cost-effective than the status-quo testing strategy if the price per test is less than $75 across all transmission rates considered. | 11 |
3. Prevention/containment | |||||||||
Miles et al24,25 (United Kingdom) | General population |
|
Extended SEIRD (Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team model)38 (Ferguson et al) | Total damage (WTP = £30 000/QALY) | Cost-benefit | March-July 2020 | Not reported (on the basis of the included costs it can be considered as a partial societal perspective) | The costs of the 3-month lockdown in the UK are likely to have been high relative to the benefits. According to the authors there is a need to normalize how we view COVID-19, because its costs and risks are comparable with other health problems (such as cancer, heart problems, diabetes). | 9 |
Zala et al10 (United Kingdom) | General population |
|
Extended SEIRD (Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team model)38 (Ferguson et al) | ICER (WTP = £20 000-30 000; according to NHS or more general estimates of the social value of a QALY between £10 000 and £70 000) | Cost-effectiveness | March-July 2020 | Not reported (on the basis of the included costs it can be considered a societal perspective) | Suppression polices were compared with an unmitigated pandemic. Even the most pessimistic National income loss scenarios under suppression (10%), give ICERs below £50 000 per QALY. Assuming a maximum reduction in national income of 7.75%, the ICERs of suppression vs mitigation are below 60 000 per QALY. |
17 |
Asamoah et al26 (Ghana) | General population |
|
Extended SEIR(D)—susceptible (S), exposed (E), asymptomatic (A), infectious (I), recovered (R), and virus on surfaces (V) | ICER: cost of control strategies/averted infections by control strategies (No WTP reported) | Cost-effectiveness | March 12 to May 7, 2020 | Not reported (on the basis of included costs it can be considered a limited/restricted healthcare perspective) | Strategy 4 is the most cost-effective strategy: safety adopted by the asymptomatic and symptomatic individuals such as practicing proper cough etiquette by maintaining a distance, covering coughs and sneezes with disposable tissues or clothing and washing hands after coughing or sneezing. | 5 |
Reddy et al17 (South Africa) | General population |
|
Extended SEIRD (CEACOV)—(S) susceptible, (E) exposed (latent, noninfectious), (Ip/Ia) pre- and asymptomatic, (Im) mildly infected, (Is) severely infected, (Ic) critically infected, (Ir) recuperation after critical infection, (R) recovered, and (D) deceased | ICER: the difference in healthcare costs divided by the difference in life years between strategies (WTP: $3250/YLS) | Cost-effectiveness | 360 days | Public/private health sector perspective | A strategy combining all interventions would cost an additional $340 per year-of-life saved, which compares favorably with the cost-effectiveness of many established public health interventions in South Africa. With low epidemic growth (Re = 1.1-1.2): HT + CT + IC + QC was the optimal strategy; QCs remained cost-effective but adding MS was not cost-effective. With high epidemic growth (Re = 2.6), when the epidemic outpaced control measures and costs increased substantially, no combination of the modeled interventions was cost-effective compared with HT alone. | 18 |
Khajji et al27 (not reported) | General population |
|
SEIQRD with SI model for animals —susceptible (S), exposed (E), infectious (I), quarantined (Q) and recovered (R), (D) discrete time | ICER: delta cost/delta averted infections (No WTP reported) | Cost-effectiveness | Not reported | Not reported (unclear what costs are included) | Strategy 3 is most cost-effective. | 6 |
Thunström et al23 (United States) | General population |
|
SIRD—susceptible (S), infectious (I), recovered (R), and deceased (D) | Net benefit (incremental GDP loss vs value of lives saved). Value of statistical life = $10 million | Cost-benefit | 30 years | Not reported (on the basis of the included costs it can be considered a: limited societal perspective) | The authors conclude that social distancing likely generates net social benefits ($5.16 trillion). | 9 |
Shlomai et al21 (Israel) | General population |
|
Extended SEIRD—(S) susceptible, (E) exposed, (Ia) asymptomatic, (Is) symptomatic and infectious, (R) recovered, (D) deceased | ICER: cost/life saved (WTP for statistical life saved = $10 000 000; WTP per QALY = $15 243-17 366) | Cost-effectiveness | 200 day period | Not reported (on the basis of included costs it can be considered a limited societal perspective) | Over time a strategy of national lockdown is moderately superior to a strategy of focused isolation in terms of reducing death rates but involves extremely high economic costs to prevent 1 case of death. A national lockdown has a moderate advantage in saving lives with tremendous costs and possible overwhelming economic effects. | 8 |
Zhao et al13 (China) | General population |
|
Extended SIRD—(S) susceptible, (Ip) presymptomatic, (Im) infectious with mild symptoms, (Ih) hospitalized, (R) recovered, and (D) deceased | Net benefit (WTP = 70 892 RMB) | Cost-benefit | Period less than a year | Societal and healthcare perspective | Strategy A (“current practice”) dominates all other strategies, from both a healthcare perspective and societal perspective. At a WTP of 70 892 RMB per DALY averted, the probability that strategy A is more cost-effective compared with strategy B, C, and D is 96%, 99%, 100%, respectively. Delay in initiating MRPs leads to exponential growth in DALY loss and societal cost: a 4-week delay resulted in 3.7 million more DALYs and 2942 billion USD additional societal cost, compared with no delay. | 16 |
Losina et al15 (United States) | College students |
|
Extended SEIRD (CEACOV)—(S) susceptible, (E) exposed (latent, noninfectious), (Ip/Ia) pre- and asymptomatic, (Im) mildly infected, (Is) severely infected, (Ic) critically infected, (Ir) recuperation after critical infection, (R) recovered, and (D) deceased | ICER: cost/QALY (WTP: $150 000/QALY) | Cost-effectiveness | One semester (105 days) | Modified societal perspective | Extensive social distancing with mandatory use of a mask could prevent 87% of COVID-19 cases on college campuses and be very cost-effective. Routine LT would prevent 96% of infections and require low-cost tests to be economically attractive. | 18 |
Baggett et al11 (United States) | Homeless adults |
|
Extended SEIRD (CEACOV)—(S) susceptible, (E) exposed (latent, noninfectious), (Ip/Ia) pre- and asymptomatic, (Im) mildly infected, (Is) severely infected, (Ic) critically infected, (Ir) recuperation after critical infection, (R) recovered, and (D) deceased | ICER: cost/COVID-19 case prevented (whereby $1000/case prevented is approximately equivalent to $61 000/QALY gained) | Cost-effectiveness | 4 months time horizon (April to August 2020) | Healthcare system perspective | Daily SxScreen and ACSs for sheltered homeless adults will substantially decrease COVID-19 cases and reduce costs compared with no intervention. In a surging epidemic, adding universal PCR testing every 2 weeks further decreases cases at modest incremental cost and should be considered. | 18 |
Bagepally et al14 (India) | General population |
|
SQIRD—(S) susceptible , (Q) quarantined, (Im) mild infection, (Is) severe infection, (Ic) critical infection, (R) recovered, and (D) deceased | ICER: cost/QALY (WTP:INR 142 719 ($1921)/QALY gained) | Cost-effectiveness | 1 year | Health system perspective | None of the interventions were cost-effective using the WHO WTP threshold. Among the interventions, hand hygiene appeared to be less expensive compared with other interventions but with similar effectiveness . The use of surgical mask with hand hygiene prevented the largest number of COVID-19 deaths. | 15 |
4. Treatment | |||||||||
Sheinson et al28 (United States) | Hospitalized patients with COVID-19 |
|
Acute care, short-term decision tree to model hospital treatment with 3 states: 1) No oxygen support, 2) oxygen support w/o ventilation, 3) oxygen support with ventilation, and 2 outcomes for every treatment: (A) alive or (D) deceased. Discharged patients advance to a long-term, post-discharge, life-table model with 2 states: 1) Alive and has not received ventilation during impatient stay and 2) alive and has received ventilation during impatient stay | ICER: cost/QALY (WTP: $50 000/QALY; $100 000/QALY; $150 000/QALY) | Cost-effectiveness | 5 years | Healthcare payer perspective and societal perspective | Effective COVID-19 treatments for hospitalized patients may not only reduce disease burden but also represent good value for the health system and society. Post-COVID treatments were included. | 10 |
Cleary et al29 (South Africa) | Hospitalized patients with COVID-19 |
|
Acute care, short-term decision tree to model health outcomes (recovered/deceased) of different hospital treatments | ICER: cost/DALY averted (WTP:38 465.46/DALY averted) | Cost-effectiveness | Not reported | Healthcare system perspective | ICU use for patients with COVID-19 was unlikely to be cost-effective on the margin, and therefore an expansion of ICU capacity during COVID-19 surges through government purchase of private services for use by public sector patients (at current prices and evidence of effectiveness) may not be the best use of limited health resources. | 12 |
Gandjour31 (Germany) | Hospitalized patients with COVID-19 |
|
Life years gained computed using life-table model | MCER of the last bed added to the existing ICU capacity (WTP: €101 493 per life-year gained); NMB; ROI | Cost-effectiveness | Lifetime | Societal perspective | Extending the existing ICU bed capacity seems acceptable on the basis of the MCER but also from a budgetary perspective. That is, extending capacity by more than 100% is forecast to result in a one-time increase in healthcare expenditure of 13%. If, however, the additional capacity remains entirely unused, the value of the investment becomes negative because of the presence of fixed costs. Nevertheless, it is reassuring that even a vacancy rate of 98% still allows for a positive return because of the low share of infrastructure costs. This is equivalent to a 2% probability of having full utilization. | 6 |
ACS indicates alternative care site; CD, cesarean delivery; CEACOV, Clinical and Economic Analysis of COVID Interventions; CT, contact tracing; DALY, disability-adjusted life-year; DesigIsol, designated spaces; ESFT, Essential Supplies Forecasting Tool; FFP-2, filtering facepiece-2; GDP, gross domestic product; HCW, healthcare worker; HT, healthcare testing; IC, isolation center; ICER, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; ICU, intensive care unit; INR, Indian rupee; LMIC, low- and middle-income country; LT, laboratory test; MCER, marginal cost-effectiveness ratio; NA, not applicable; NMB, net monetary benefit; PCR, polymerase chain reaction; POC, point of care; PPE, personal protective equipment; QALY, quality-adjusted life-year; QC, quarantine center; Re, reproduction number; ResIsol, residence-based isolation; RLT, routine laboratory testing; ROI, return on investment; RT-PCR, real-time polymerase chain reaction; SALIRD, Susceptible-Asymptomatic-Presymptomatic-Infectious-Recovered-Deceased; SEIRD, Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered-Deceased; SEIQR, Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Quarantined-Recovered; SI, Susceptible-Infected; SIR, Susceptible-Infected-Recovered; SIRD, Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered-Deceased; SQIRD, Susceptible-Quarantined-Infected-Recovered-Deceased; SxScreen, symptom screening; TempHousing, temporary housing; WHO, World Health Organization; WTP, willingness to pay; YLL, years of life lost; YLS, years of life saved.