Table 3.
Life expectancy by frailty state at age 70 across European regions and gender in SHARE Waves 1 (2004–05) and 6 (2015)
| Population | Calendar year | Total life expectancy |
Absolute life expectancy
Years (95% CI) |
Relative life expectancy
% (95% CI) |
|||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Healthy |
Unhealthy |
Healthy |
Unhealthy |
||||||||||
| Years | (Changea) | Non-frail | (Changeb) | Pre-frail | Frail | (Changec) | Non-frail | (Changeb) | Pre-frail | Frail | (Changec) | ||
| Total | |||||||||||||
| Total Study Population | 2004–05 | 15.3 | 8.1 (7.9–8.3) | 4.0 (3.8–4.2) | 3.2 (3.0–3.4) | 52.8 (51.5–54.1) | 26.4 (25.3–27.6) | 20.9 (19.7–22.0) | |||||
| 2015 | 16.4 | (1.1) ↑ | 9.2 (9.0–9.3) | (1.1) ↑ | 4.1 (4.0–4.2) | 3.2 (3.1–3.3) | (0.1) ↑ | 55.7 (54.9–56.5) | (2.9) ↑ | 24.9 (24.1–25.6) | 19.4 (18.7–20.1) | (–3.0) ↓ | |
| Northern Europe | 2004–05 | 14.8 | 9.8 (9.4–10.2) | 3.3 (3.0–3.7) | 1.7 (1.4–2.0) | 66.0 (63.3–68.6) | 22.5 (20.0–24.9) | 11.6 (9.6–13.5) | |||||
| 2015 | 15.9 | (1.1)↑ | 11.1 (10.8–11.4) | (1.3) ↑ | 2.9 (2.6–3.1) | 1.9 (1.7–2.2) | (–0.2) ↓ | 69.8 (68.1–71.6) | (3.8) ↑ | 18.0 (16.4–19.5) | 12.2 (10.9–13.5) | (–3.9) ↓ | |
| Central Europe | 2004–05 | 15.2 | 9.0 (8.7–9.3) | 3.6 (3.3–3.9) | 2.6 (2.4–2.9) | 59.0 (57.1–60.9) | 23.7 (21.9–25.4) | 17.4 (15.8–18.9) | |||||
| 2015 | 16.3 | (1.1) ↑ | 9.7 (9.5–9.9) | (0.7) ↑ | 3.8 (3.7–4.0) | 2.8 (2.6–2.9) | (0.4) ↑ | 59.5 (58.4–60.7) | (0.5) ↑ | 23.5 (22.4–24.6) | 17.0 (16.0–17.9) | (–0,6) ↓ | |
| Southern Europe | 2004–05 | 15.4 | 6.5 (6.1–6.8) | 4.7 (4.3–5.0) | 4.2 (3.9–4.5) | 42.2 (40.0–44.4) | 30.5 (28.3–32.8) | 27.2 (25.0–29.5) | |||||
| 2015 | 16.4 | (1.0) ↑ | 7.8 (7.6–8.0) | (1.3) ↑ | 4.6 (4.4–4.8) | 4.0 (3.8–4.2) | (–0.3) ↓ | 47.8 (46.4–49.2) | (5.6) ↑ | 28.0 (26.7–29.4) | 24.2 (22.9–25.4) | (–5.5) ↓ | |
| Women | |||||||||||||
| Total Study Population | 2004–05 | 16.6 | 7.3 (7.0–7.6) | 5.1 (4.8–5.3) | 4.3 (4.0–4.6) | 43.9 (42.2–45.6) | 30.4 (28.7–32.1) | 25.7 (24.1–27.4) | |||||
| 2015 | 17.7 | (1.1) ↑ | 8.1 (7.9–8.3) | (0.8) ↑ | 5.2 (5.0–5.4) | 4.4 (4.2–4.6) | (0.2) ↑ | 45.8 (44.7–46.9) | (1.9) ↑ | 29.2 (28.1–30.3) | 25.0 (24.0–26.1) | (–1.9) ↓ | |
| Northern Europe | 2004–05 | 16.1 | 9.2 (8.7–9.8) | 4.6 (4.0–5.2) | 2.2 (1.8–2.7) | 57.5 (53.8–61.1) | 28.5 (24.9–32.1) | 14.0 (11.1–16.8) | |||||
| 2015 | 17.0 | (0.9) ↑ | 10.6 (10.1–11.0) | (1.4) ↑ | 4.0 (3.6–4.4) | 2.5 (2.1–2.8) | (–0.3) ↓ | 62.2 (59.7–64.7) | (4.7) ↑ | 23.3 (21.0–25.7) | 14.5 (12.5–16.5) | (–4.7) ↓ | |
| Central Europe | 2004–05 | 16.5 | 8.5 (8.1–8.9) | 4.5 (4.1–4.9) | 3.5 (3.2–3.9) | 51.5 (49.0–54.0) | 27.2 (24.9–29.6) | 21.3 (19.0–23.5) | |||||
| 2015 | 17.6 | (1.1) ↑ | 9.1 (8.8–9.3) | (0.6) ↑ | 4.7 (4.5–5.0) | 3.8 (3.6–4.1) | (0.5)↑ | 51.5 (49.9–53.1) | (0.0) = | 26.9 (25.4–28.4) | 21.6 (20.2–23.0) | (0.0) = | |
| Southern Europe | 2004–05 | 16.8 | 5.2 (4.7–5.7) | 5.9 (5.4–6.4) | 5.8 (5.2–6.3) | 30.8 (28.1–33.6) | 35.0 (31.8–38.2) | 34.2 (31.0–37.4) | |||||
| 2015 | 18.0 | (1.2) ↑ | 6.1 (5.8–6.4) | (0.9) ↑ | 6.1 (5.7––6.5) | 5.8 (5.4–6.1) | (0.2) ↑ | 33.9 (32.1–35.6) | (3.1) ↑ | 33.9 (31.9–36.0) | 32.2 (30.2–34.2) | (–3.1) ↓ | |
| Men | |||||||||||||
| Total Study Population | 2004–05 | 13.5 | 9.0 (8.7–9.2) | 2.7 (2.5–2.9) | 1.8 (1.6–2.0) | 66.8 (64.9–68.6) | 20.1 (18.5–21.7) | 13.2 (11.8–14.6) | |||||
| 2015 | 14.8 | (1.3)↑ | 10.3 (10.1–10.5) | (1.3) ↑ | 2.8 (2.7–3.0) | 1.7 (1.6–1.8) | (0.0) = | 69.5 (68.4–70.6) | (2.7) ↑ | 19.0 (18.0–20.0) | 11.5 (10.7–12.3) | (––2.8) ↓ | |
| Northern Europe | 2004–05 | 13.3 | 10.4 (9.9–10.8) | 1.8 (1.4–2.2) | 1.1 (0.8––1.4) | 78.2 (74.8–81.7) | 13.7 (10.8–16.6) | 8.1 (5.7–10.4) | |||||
| 2015 | 14.6 | (1.3)↑ | 11.7 (11.4–12.0) | (1.3) ↑ | 1.6 (1.4–1.9) | 1.3 (1.1–1.6) | (0.0) = | 79.9 (77.7–82.2) | (1.7)↑ | 11.1 (9.3–12.8) | 9.0 (7.4–10.6) | (–1.7) ↓ | |
| Central Europe | 2004–05 | 13.4 | 9.7 (9.3–10.0) | 2.4 (2.1–2.7) | 1.4 (1.2–1.7) | 71.9 (69.2–74.5) | 17.6 (15.3–19.9) | 10.5 (8.6-12.3) | |||||
| 2015 | 14.7 | (1.3) ↑ | 10.5 (10.3–10.7) | (0.8)↑ | 2.8 (2.6–3.0) | 1.5 (1.3–1.6) | (0.5)↑ | 71.2 (69.6–72.8) | (–0.7) ↓ | 18.8 (17.4–20.2) | 10.0 (8.9–11.1) | (0.7) ↑ | |
| Southern Europe | 2004–05 | 13.5 | 8.0 (7.5–8.4) | 3.3 (2.8–3.7) | 2.3 (1.9–2.7) | 58.8 (55.5–62.1) | 24.1 (21.0–27.2) | 17.1 (14.3-19.9) | |||||
| 2015 | 15.0 | (1.5) ↑ | 9.8 (9.5–10.1) | (1.8) ↑ | 3.1 (2.8–3.3) | 2.1 (1.9–2.3) | (–0.4) ↓ | 65.3 (63.4–67.2) | (6.5)↑ | 20.6 (18.9–22.2) | 14.1 (12.6–15.6) | (–6.5) ↓ | |
Note: Sum of life expectancy in different frailty states (absolute and relative) does not always add to total life expectancy due to rounding.
a
Change in life expectancy from 2004–05–2015.
b
Change in healthy (non–frail) life expectancy from 2004–05–2015.
c
Change in unhealthy (pre-frail + frail) life expectancy from 2004–05–2015.